Irish Independent

Convention numbers don’t add up

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■ I share the concerns of Mattie McGrath and Rónán Mullen regarding the Constituti­onal Convention but for different reasons.

The concept of a public forum for constituti­onal issues has merit in terms of broadening debate outside the narrow confines of the Oireachtas. However, it is the technical aspects of its compositio­n

that bothers me. First off, the idea of

33 seats reserved for politician­s is completely excessive. It is disproport­ionate that one third of the seats are allocated to the Oireachtas – which already has its own forum. Seasoned politician­s could, and I emphasise the word ‘could’, be overpoweri­ng and dilute contributi­ons from the general public. Surely all that was required was a facilitato­r, maybe a senior judge like Mary Laffoy, the Ceann Comhairle of the Dáil and the Seanad and perhaps one nominee from each of the parties?

Secondly, any basic understand­ing of statistics would suggest that a selection of 66 from a population of

3,510,069 over the age of 18 (Source: Census 2016) is not sufficient to render the sample truly representa­tive. It is 35-plus years since I did statistics at college but using some of the online survey tools, a sample of 385 would be required to give a 95pc confidence in the sample with a plus or minus 5pc margin of error. Discountin­g the 33 who cannot be regarded as representa­tive, the remaining 66 only give an 80pc confidence with a

plus or minus 6pc margin of error.

The sample is too small and is disproport­ionately filled with profession­al politician­s.

Frank Buckley

Tullamore, Co Offaly

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