Irish Independent

‘Everything matters and everything is at stake’: Democrats’ election hope

- Steve Peoples WASHINGTON

THE day of reckoning for American politics has arrived.

Voters today will decide the $5bn (€4.4bn) debate between US President Donald Trump’s take-no-prisoner politics and the Democratic Party’s super-charged campaign to end the Republican monopoly in Washington, DC and statehouse­s across the nation. There are indication­s an often-discussed “blue wave” may help Democrats seize control of at least one chamber of Congress.

But two years after an election that proved polls and prognostic­ators wrong, nothing is certain in the first nationwide elections of the Trump presidency.

“I don’t think there’s a Democrat in this country that doesn’t have a little angst left over from 2016 deep down,” said Stephanie Schriock, president of EMILY’s List, which spent more than ever before – nearly $60m (€52.6m) in all – to support Democratic women this campaign season.

“Everything matters and everything’s at stake,” Ms Schriock argued.

All 435 seats in the House of Representa­tives are up for re-election.

There are also 35 Senate seats in play, as are almost 40 governorsh­ips and the balance of power in virtually every state legislatur­e around the country.

And Mr While he is not on the ballot, Trump himself has acknowledg­ed the 2018 midterms, above all, represent a referendum on his presidency.

‘Angst left over from 2016’

Should Democrats win control of the House, as strategist­s in both parties suggest is likely, they could derail Trump’s legislativ­e agenda for the next two years.

Perhaps more importantl­y, they would also win subpoena power to investigat­e the controvers­ial president’s many personal and profession­al missteps.

Today’s elections will also test the strength of a Trumpera political realignmen­t defined by evolving divisions among voters by race, gender and especially education.

Trump’s Republican coalition is increasing­ly becoming older, whiter, more male and less likely to have a college degree.

Democrats are relying more upon women, people of colour, young people and college graduates. The political realignmen­t, if there is one, could re-shape US politics for a generation.

Just five years ago, the Republican National Committee reported the GOP’s very survival depended upon attracting more minorities and women.

Those voters have increasing­ly fled from Mr Trump’s Republican Party.

One Republican analyst, Ari Fleischer, acknowledg­ed that Republican leaders never envisioned expanding their ranks with white, working-class men.

“What it means to be Republican is being rewritten as we speak,” Mr Fleischer said.

“Donald Trump has the pen, and his handwritin­g isn’t always very good.”

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