Sunday Independent (Ireland)

EXPERT COMMENT & ANALYSIS

Colm McCarthy Dan O’Brien Fergal Keane Eilis O’Hanlon

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BRITISH prime minister Theresa May was last night left isolated and undermined as the resignatio­n of her two chiefs of staff failed to stop a furious Tory backlash.

The UK prime minister has been told by ministers she must overhaul her leadership style and change her economic policy if she wants to remain in power for the time being.

Protecting business during Brexit talks and handing over more money to the Foreign Office have been named as the price for Cabinet support.

Mrs May has secured shortterm backing from senior Tories due to fears that another election could let Jeremy Corbyn into Number 10. But an unofficial race to replace her was already under way as allies of Boris Johnson and David Davis talked up their credential­s and briefed against the other.

Figures at the very top of the party now believe she cannot remain leader for long, with some calling for a replacemen­t by the time of the party’s conference in October. “This was utterly self-inflicted and completely unavoidabl­e. Her credibilit­y is completely shot at home and abroad,” said a minister.

Yesterday’s developmen­ts included:

A controvers­ial “confidence and supply” deal with the DUP being struck after Tory chief whip Gavin Williamson flew to Belfast for talks;

DUP sources saying they would demand Mrs May abandon parts of her social care plan as their price for support;

The resignatio­n of Nick Timothy and Fiona Hill, May’s of staff, after ultimatums from senior Tories;

A promise from peers and pro-EU Tories to exploit Mrs May’s weakness to water down Brexit plans outlined in the party’s manifesto;

Ruth Davidson, the Scottish Tory leader, appearing to question whether her 13 MPs would vote for taking Britain out of the single market.

May is still reeling from the unexpected loss of seats at an election that she called to “strengthen her hand” for Brexit talks. Despite starting the campaign with a 20-point poll lead, the Tories ended up beating Labour by just two points.

After securing 318 seats — the largest of any party but 13 less than when she called the vote — it was last night confirmed that a deal had been struck with the DUP — which has 10 MPs. Details will be put to MPs on Monday.

A No 10 spokesman said: “We can confirm that the DUP have agreed to the principles of an outline agreement to support the Conservati­ve Government on a Confidence and Supply basis when parliament returns next week. We welcome this commitment, which can provide the stability and certainty the whole country requires as we embark on Brexit and beyond.”

However there were growing concerns among some Conservati­ves that the party’s image could be tarnished by entering a pact with the DUP given that party’s criticism of gay marriage.

And there were also questions about whether May can push through her manifesto demands on Brexit, including leaving the single market and customs union.

Scottish Conservati­ve leader Ruth Davidson, who wields considerab­le influence after the Scottish Tories won 13 seats, said: “I want to ensure that we can look again at issues like Brexit — which we know we’re going to have to get cross-party support for.”

In a hint that curbing immigratio­n could become a lower priority than safeguardi­ng the economy she added: “It is about making sure that we put free trade at the heart of what it is we seek to achieve as we leave.”

Mrs May was also working on a Cabinet reshuffle, although the election result makes it less likely she will risk alienating colleagues by making wholesale changes as she cannot afford to have disgruntle­d former ministers sniping at her from the backbenche­s.

Last night May attempted to bring stability to Number 10 announcing Gavin Barwell, the former housing minister who failed to win a seat in the election, as her new chief of staff. Mrs May is also considerin­g appointing a deputy prime minister or a new party chairman in an attempt to reach out to seething Tory colleagues.

Nick Timothy and Fiona Hill announced their resignatio­n after pressure from senior Tories. Chancellor Philip Hammond is understood to have expressed his frustratio­n with the pair’s attitude to government in a phone call to May on Friday morning.

The 1922 Committee of backbenche­rs is also understood to have made the pair’s departure a “red line” for continuing to support May.

Nick Timothy, who cowrote the Tory manifesto, issued a statement expressing his “sorrow” at MPs who had lost seats.

He also attempted to shift the blame over the party’s social care policy, which was changed withjoint-chiefs in days of the announceme­nt after a backlash. “I would like to make clear that the bizarre media reports about my own role in the policy’s inclusion are wrong: it had been the subject of many months of work within Whitehall, and it was not my personal pet project,” he said.

Fiona Hill said it had been a privilege to serve and added: “I have no doubt at all that Theresa May will continue to serve and work hard as prime minister, and do it brilliantl­y.”

However the resignatio­ns have not stopped speculatio­n. Ministers have privately said they believe May cannot remain leader for long.

“Her going is completely unavoidabl­e. She can’t avoid resigning and triggering a leadership election, quite soon,” said one minister.

Numerous ministers said that the prime minister would not “lead the party into the next election” and demanded that she become more “collegiate” in the future.

Allies of likely leadership contenders were also briefing journalist­s.

One Boris Johnson ally said: “Tons of people have reached out to him since the election... They are saying he is the only one who can lead now. David Davis is too old school and pushed for the early election.”

A source close to David Davis said they believed he would stand for the leadership if it became vacant and questioned Boris Johnson’s suitabilit­y for the job. However spokesmen for both men denied any suggestion that they were on manoeuvres and suggested they were “completely” behind Mrs May.

There was also speculatio­n that some Tory MPs could consider signing letters formally demanding that May goes.

Almost two thirds of Tory Party members want Theresa May to resign, a survey found yesterday. The snap survey of 1,500 Tory party members revealed that 60pc believed Mrs May should resign and trigger a leadership contest.

Just 37pc said they thought Mrs May should remain in post as Tory MPs warned that the relationsh­ip between the party’s leadership and its grassroots needed to be improved.

The survey has prompted Tory MPs to express concerns about the way in which the campaign was fought and at the centralise­d nature of decision-making under May.

Geoffrey Clifton-Brown, Tory MP for the Cotswolds, said grassroots disquiet needed to be heeded as there was a “distinct feeling” Tory members are not consulted enough on the party’s direction.

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