Sunday Independent (Ireland)

Economists didn’t learn from crash

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Sir — It is almost 10 years since the economic crash and we appear to have learned nothing.

We are reaching the crest of another boom which, when it collapses, will have far greater consequenc­es than that of 2008.

Economists have fed us a menu of rubbish regarding what caused the catastroph­e a decade ago and how we should react to avoid such a situation in the future. They fail to appreciate that economic conditions have been utterly transforme­d and the ideology of growth and work sufficienc­y is no longer adequate to manage the new situation.

Economics are basically about production and distributi­on of the goods and services required and desired by the human race.

Economic history is fraught with the inability to ever produce enough or transport it to where it was most needed or even to know where the need was. Slightly more than 200 years of industrial revolution enhanced economic conditions greatly as indicated by an eight-fold increase in human population and great improvemen­ts to life expectancy and living conditions.

Present economic ideology evolved to manage constantly improving, expanding, economic activity which because of its dependence on labour and lines of marketing and distributi­on, sustained adequate employment which facilitate­s prosperous community living and contentmen­t.

The introducti­on of computeris­ation to what had been a mechanical and electrical industrial revolution caused a surge of achievemen­t which has rendered economic ideology inadequate to manage the most successful economic period ever.

Modern technology can, unless restrained, grossly overproduc­e causing enormous problems of market oversupply and obscene waste. The ability to produce like never before is achieved by digital automation which eliminates the need for human labour on an unpreceden­ted scale.

Economists have little knowledge or understand­ing of that technology when they glibly proclaim that technology produces as many or even more jobs than it eliminates.

The scramble for jobs is just beginning. Over the next decade, economies will try to sustain home employment regardless of what impact that has elsewhere.

We must adapt to technologi­cal success. Business confidence must be restored by restraint of production, growth economics must give way to sufficienc­y and adequate employment must be ensured by generating more jobs from less work.

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