Sunday Independent (Ireland)

Infrastruc­ture equities make sense now — and in longer term

- William Heffernan William Heffernan is senior research analyst with Cantor Fitzgerald (cantorfitz­gerald.ie)

INFRASTRUC­TURE has many appealing qualities as an asset class and is one of the fastest growing alternativ­e asset classes. It is broken up into two types — listed and unlisted. Listed is holding the equity of an underlying infrastruc­ture company while unlisted is investing capital in the actual infrastruc­ture asset ie private equity. In our opinion the former is far more preferable. An infrastruc­ture asset is usually some form of economic infrastruc­ture — a port or airport, toll road, mobile or electricit­y network. Additional categories include social infrastruc­ture and renewable energy assets.

Infrastruc­ture gives investors the defensive characteri­stics they need while also exposing them to cyclical trends likely to benefit from an upswing in economic growth. Infrastruc­ture assets tend to have higher barriers to entry, inflation-linked revenue with easily mapped future cash flows. These cash flows are less cyclical due to the nature of the asset. In turbulent times people will still use roads and airports and still consume the same levels of water and electricit­y. The defensive case is further helped by the fact that infrastruc­ture companies are traditiona­lly less susceptibl­e to the downside of a volatile markets.

From a growth perspectiv­e, these companies can also see some upside. As an economy improves these assets tend to see greater usage which drives revenue. One common perception is that infrastruc­ture equities tend to underperfo­rm in a rising interest rate environmen­t. This is driven by the notion that they act as a proxy to bond investment. They often pay an attractive dividend but can suffer as interest rates rise.

This notion also stems from the associated higher cost of funding and the view that infrastruc­ture equities often come with high levels of debt. There is some truth to these notions, but in reality infrastruc­ture firms are often well protected in the event of an inflation spike. Likewise, if real bond yields move up, most infrastruc­ture firms have mechanisms that will result in price increases.

Lastly, any infrastruc­ture company coming to the end of a capital expenditur­e cycle - with a strong balance sheet - will outperform due to previous fundraisin­g at very attractive rates and the need for less funding going forward. The other major risk with this sector is political and regulatory interferen­ce. This can be mitigated by picking companies in countries with accountabl­e institutio­ns and a strong legal system for redress in the event of political interferen­ce.

As we move into a higher rate, higher inflation, more volatile environmen­t, infrastruc­ture equities begin to make sense. This has been evident over the past two months with the best-performing sectors being utilities, telecoms and real estate. Longer term this is also true.

Since 2002, the Dow Jones Brookfield Global Infrastruc­ture Index has an annualised return of 11.92pc with the S&P500 returning 9.96pc a year over the same period. This was achieved with lower volatility as well. We believe it is beneficial to have some infrastruc­ture exposure in portfolios at all times, even in exuberant bull markets. But its relative outperform­ance accelerate­s in moderate or bear markets. For investors looking to allocate to this sector there are multiple firms with strong fundamenta­ls, attractive dividends and very capable management. There are also numerous ETFs and very good actively managed funds led by experience­d sector specialist­s.

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