The Jerusalem Post

Soothing Fed sounds send stocks to 5-week high

Europe shares up 1.2%, Wall St set to hit 7-month high

- • By MARC JONES

LONDON (Reuters) – World stocks hit their highest in five weeks on Tuesday as a dovish tone from Janet Yellen cooled near-term US rate hike bets and a 2016 peak in crude prices cheered oil firms.

European stocks were up 1.2 percent ahead of US trading where Wall Street’s S&P 500 was expected to hit a fresh seven-month high when it resumes.

The gains came after the Fed chief Yellen on Monday had called last week’s US jobs numbers disappoint­ing and opted not to repeat her message that US interest rates could rise again in the coming months.

That was balanced, however, by her cautioning against attaching too much significan­ce to the payrolls data in isolation and as she pointed to other more upbeat signals for the world’s largest economy.

“Yellen has certainly put paid to a rate rise in June but there’s more going on here than that,” said Aberdeen Asset Management’s Luke Bartholome­w.

“Her message really is that the US is making consistent progress towards full employment, that inflation should pick up and there’s more positives than negatives. This should give those hoping for a July rate rise some modicum of solace.”

With the Fed suggesting it was in no rush to increase interest rates, bond yields slipped with 10-year US Treasury yields retreating to 1.72% from 1.84% last week. Benchmark yields are down 63 basis points so far this year.

Key European bonds barely moved with German Bunds already near all-time lows thanks to the European Central Bank’s unpreceden­ted stimulus efforts.

In the FX markets, Yellen’s comments also kept the dollar pinned near a one-month low against other top currencies.

The Australian dollar meanwhile jumped 1 percent after the Reserve Bank of Australia appeared to raise the bar for further rate cuts.

Sterling climbed 0.9%to $1.4575 as jostling continued over Britain’s June 23 vote on its European Union membership, while the Swiss franc hit its highest in over a month ahead of an expected enforced conversion of franc mortgage loans in Poland.

Earlier on Tuesday, Japanese Finance Minister Taro Aso told reporters that he would refrain from commenting on Japan’s possible response in the currency market if the yen, which has surged since November. were to rise further.

Aso declined to comment on US Treasury Secretary Jack Lew’s remark over the weekend that described recent currency market moves as “orderly” in a sign of caution towards currency interventi­on.

Elsewhere, Brent oil prices climbed above $51 a barrel after crippling attacks on Nigeria’s oil industry and data showing fresh draw downs in US crude stockpiles.

Global crude benchmark futures, which have now surged more than 50 percent this year, hit a new seven-month high of $51.14 per barrel as US West Texas Intermedia­te (WTI) crude topped $50, after rising 2.2% on Monday, its largest gain in three weeks.

Nigeria’s Bonny Light crude output is down by an estimated 170,000 barrels per day (bpd) following attacks on pipeline infrastruc­ture, according to one Reuters industry source.

Metals markets were a touch lower too but have also been signaling lately that the worst of the commoditie­s rout may be over.

Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange had slipped 0.7 percent to $4,656.50 a ton after it had hit its highest in four weeks while zinc, another key industry metal, was at its highest in almost a year.

“This week’s rally continues to be supported by a weaker USD and falling inventorie­s. However, investors will remain cautious leading into the release of China’s trade data tomorrow,” ANZ said in a note.

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