The Jerusalem Post

Egypt-Israel relations have quietly blossomed

Both want peace with the Palestinia­ns and victory over terrorism

- • By SETH J. FRANTZMAN Jerusalem Post correspond­ent

CAIRO – The vast six-lane boulevard from Cairo Internatio­nal Airport into the city center is lined with buildings and offices connected to Egypt’s powerful military. Hotels cater to air force officers, and buildings commemorat­e, with glorious murals, the country’s fighting history. One shows Egyptian soldiers crossing the Suez Canal in 1973 to strike at Israeli forces in Sinai.

Many Egyptians see the 1973 war as a victory. From that war came the peace treaty signed in Washington in 1979 between president Anwar Sadat and prime minister Menachem Begin. Insiders say that Israel and Egypt are experienci­ng the closest cooperatio­n in decades, based on shared interests.

On the surface there is nothing about the Egyptian-Israeli cold peace that appears warm. Israel was not represente­d at the Cairo Internatio­nal Book Fair that wrapped up on Friday. Official meetings with Israelis are controvers­ial – a parliament­arian named Tawfik Okasha was heavily reprimande­d for sitting down with the Israeli ambassador last year.

Israel reopened its embassy, albeit in smaller quarters, in September 2015, four years after an angry mob stormed it during the chaos of the Arab Spring. “We’re working together for the sake of stability and prosperity in the Middle East. Egypt will always be the largest and most important state in our region,” then-Foreign Ministry director-general Dore Gold said. However, reports noted that the embassy building itself would not be re-opened and the ambassador’s residence would be used until a suitable location could be found.

This shows the relationsh­ip with Israel is multi-layered. Large portions of the population are hostile to Israel, fed by populist media. That may have changed slightly for the better in recent years. “There is still a lot of hearsay and conspiracy theories going

on,” said Ayman el-Khatib, a former teacher.

There is a bifurcatio­n between the political and diplomatic level – which officially demands that Israel make peace with the Palestinia­ns and sees the Palestinia­n issue as a core of the region’s problems – and the strategic and military sector, which sees potential in cooperatio­n with Israel.

Egypt and Israel quietly share strategic interests in the region. Egypt’s leadership sees the result of the Arab Spring as incredible instabilit­y and rising Islamist extremism. In discussion­s with people knowledgea­ble of the current situation, it was stressed that Cairo views the conflict today in the region as one between political Islam, such as the Muslim Brotherhoo­d and its affiliates, and more traditiona­lly “secular” regimes.

It also fears the rising influence of Iran as Iranian proxies in Yemen, Lebanon and Iraq creep closer to Cairo’s eastern flank. In this set-up Israel is a key ally. Egypt treads a fine line in its relations with Saudi Arabia and Syria. It needs financial support from the Gulf, but wants to retain its traditiona­l position as a military and cultural powerhouse in the region and see Islamist extremism defeated.

The Egyptian-Israeli relationsh­ip is also a foundation of US policy in the region. With the US providing more than $80 billion in funding for Egypt since the 1978 Camp David Accords, and similar military support for Israel, the two countries have much in common. “Bilateral relations are the best in recent history” and “the relationsh­ip with Israel has never been better,” said insiders.

On December 22, Egypt withdrew a draft UN Security Council resolution condemning Israeli settlement­s, after what reports described as “frantic” lobbying by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi’s spokesman told reporters that they would allow the incoming US administra­tion of Donald Trump to address the issue.

In an embarrassm­ent for Cairo, the Security Council then passed a resolution a day later that was submitted by New Zealand, Venezuela, Senegal and Malaysia. Egypt ended up supporting a resolution it had withdrawn.

Today Egypt wants Washington to declare the Muslim Brotherhoo­d, which was ejected from power in 2013, a terrorist organizati­on and it sees an interest in fighting terrorism alongside Israel. Hamas’s brand of political Islam is viewed as similar to that of the Brotherhoo­d. Last week Egypt destroyed six tunnels linking the Gaza Strip and Sinai.

The new US administra­tion provides Egypt opportunit­ies and potential pitfalls relating to the Israeli issue. On the one hand there is a feeling that “the US always takes advice from Israel,” according to one knowledgea­ble source who asked to remain anonymous. “But Israel is not an Arab state – Washington should listen to our advice.” Some influentia­l Egyptians believe that the US State Department is influenced by Israeli interests. Only a small minority openly speaks of more open public relations with Israel.

Egyptian diplomats and politician­s fear that relocating the US Embassy to Jerusalem could inflame the region. Comments by Trump prior to being sworn in about moving the embassy caused much concern in Cairo, and they stress that it must not happen.

In 1978, Sadat emphasized the need to provide Palestinia­ns with rights. Egypt still argues that Israel must make peace with the Palestinia­n Authority and create what one source said is a “win-win solution for the Palestinia­n and Israel.” This should be modeled on the 2002 Arab Peace Initiative, which calls for Israel to withdraw from the West Bank in return for recognitio­n by the Arab states, locals said.

They are worried about the Israeli public’s continued drift to the Right, which makes any solution impossible. They paid close attention to the passage of the “settlement regulation law” last week and think it will lead to an attempt to annex the West Bank.

According to Dr. Eric R. Mandel, founder and director of the Middle East Political and Informatio­n Network, who recently led a trip to Egypt organized by Keshet Insight Seminars, there is reason to be optimistic. “They should broaden and strengthen their relations with Israel, not as a favor to Israel, but to advance Egyptian interests, including strengthen­ing the US relationsh­ip.”

Mandel sees much to gain for Egypt in cooperatio­n on developing fresh water resources and desalinati­on that can benefit the country’s growing population. He argues that the relationsh­ip should not be held hostage by the Palestinia­n issue. “They are handicappe­d by generation­s of incitement against Israel,” he pointed out. “If they can somehow think out of the box, they could profoundly improve their economic situation and relationsh­ip with the United States.”

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