Greater Cairo to grow by half a million this year
CAIRO (Reuters) – Cairo’s population is set to grow by 500,000 this year, more than any other city in the world, adding to the pressure on an Egyptian economy struggling to recover from six years of political turmoil.
Greater Cairo is home to some 22.8 million and will gain another 500,000 in 2017, a Euromonitor International report released last week shows.
That represents a quarter of Egypt’s 92 million people. The national natural population growth of 2.4% per year is double the average of other developing countries, said Muhammad Abdelgalil, adviser to official statistics agency CAPMAS.
Stinging poverty in southern Egypt leads families to have several children in the hope they can become sources of income. Those children eventually migrate to larger cities for job opportunities scarce in their hometowns.
“In rural areas, and in the south in particular, poor families have many children because they see these children as a safety net,” Maysa Shawky, the head of the National Population Council, told Reuters in an interview.
“Also, many of them have daughters until they have sons,” she added. “They want to produce breadwinners – instead of hiring a worker, they could have their children help them.”
Shawky said awareness campaigns at universities and schools have begun as part of a national population strategy.
Internal migration is one of the main causes of overpopulation in Cairo. Egypt lists 351 slums as “unsafe,” most of them in the sprawling capital where the poorest have built ramshackle homes that lack basic amenities such as mains sewage and water. Some 850,000 people are believed to live in such dangerous slums.
“For the average citizen to not be affected by hikes in the prices of goods and services, the economic growth rate must be double the natural population increase rate,” Abdelgalil said.
Egypt’s economic growth was 4.3% in 2015-2016 – not enough to achieve that. The IMF expects it to be about 4% this year.
A new administrative capital is intended to reduce the crowding in Cairo. Some 45 km. to the east, it will be home to government offices and an airport.