The Jerusalem Post

DC keeps low profile over strike

- ANALYSIS • By MICHAEL WILNER Jerusalem Post Correspond­ent

WASHINGTON – It took 24 hours, nearly to the minute, for White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders to respond to the incident on Israel’s northern border, which sparked the most violent confrontat­ion yet in its cold war with Iran.

Tillerson has ‘not ruled out’ Israel visit, Page 10

“Israel is a staunch ally of the United States, and we support its right to defend itself from the Iranian-backed Syrian and militia forces in southern Syria,” Sanders said in a midnight message to the press. “We call on Iran and its allies to cease provocativ­e actions and work toward regional peace.”

Whatever the Trump

administra­tion might be doing to diffuse this military escalation, it is doing so quietly – leveraging what little influence it has over players in Syria’s civil war to prevent the conflict from exploding region-wide.

In a serious military and diplomatic crisis between powerful nation-states, where the internatio­nal community would in past years look to the US for leadership, all eyes are on Moscow for direction. It is a consequenc­e of six years of Syria policy in which Washington chose to disengage from the war there and allow Russia and Iran to run free.

Now, senior Trump administra­tion officials say they will not “accept” or “allow” Tehran to entrench itself in Syria so close to Israel’s border, already girded along one part by Lebanese Hezbollah, an Iranian proxy. To that end, the US was a part of critical talks with Russia last July to push Iran some distance away from the Golan border.

Since then, the US secretarie­s of defense and state have all but announced that American troops stationed in Syria will remain there indefinite­ly, if need be, to prevent the resurgence of Islamic State and to thwart Iran from completing a land bridge, or “Shi’ite crescent,” from Mashhad to the Mediterran­ean.

But concerns over that July agreement have born fruit. This weekend’s kinetic exchange – in which a drone of Iranian origin flew into Israeli airspace, prompting an IAF response that led to the loss of one of its jets – demonstrat­ed the difficulty of enforcing such deals and the true extent of the administra­tion’s diplomatic influence over the tripartite running Syria.

It shows how motivated Tehran remains to complete its forces’ buildup around Israel and how determined Israel remains to prevent it.

While Israelis may look to America for assistance in times of crisis such as these, it is unclear what diplomatic or military options the administra­tion has at its disposal to help – in this case or in any future crises to come.

This administra­tion has no channel of communicat­ion with Tehran, unlike its predecesso­r; it does not have relations with the Assad government. And if conflict were to erupt, Washington’s priority would be to avoid a confrontat­ion between its own military forces and Russian forces before anything else.

Outlining US policy in Syria just weeks ago, Secretary of State Rex Tillerson said the administra­tion seeks to “diminish” Iran’s presence in the state and deny it the ability to threaten its neighbors. He offered no details of a plan to accomplish this.

Trump has yet to comment or tweet on the border incident. •

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