Conservatives expected to keep power but lose seats as Paraguay goes to the polls
BUENOS AIRES (Reuters) – Paraguay voted for a new president on Sunday, with the ruling Colorado Party expected to keep power but lose seats in Congress, which could complicate its pro-business agenda and raise the risk of higher taxes on the country’s key farm sector.
Mario Abdo, a 46-year-old former senator who campaigned for the Colorado Party on an anti-corruption platform, supports current low-tax policies aimed at stimulating foreign investment and agricultural production in Paraguay, the world’s No. 4 soybean exporter and a major supplier of beef.
Abdo, who set the stage for governing with a minority in Congress by calling for dialogue with opposition parties, has promised to fight pressure to raise taxes despite calls from the opposition for a levy on soybean exports. Preelection opinion polls showed him 18 to 20 percentage points ahead of candidate Efrain Alegre, a lawyer from the center-left GANAR coalition.
Outgoing president Horacio Cartes, who tried but failed to change the constitution to allow him to seek a second consecutive term, is running for a Senate seat.
Abdo is the son of the late private secretary of dictator Alfredo Stroessner, who ruled Paraguay with an iron hand for 35 years. Abdo, who was 16 when Stroessner’s regime ended in 1989, has vowed to respect human rights and democratic institutions if elected.
“I am going to lead a wide national dialogue,” Abdo told reporters before going to cast his ballot.
Grains-dependent Paraguay produced more than 10 million tons of soy last year and is trying to attract investment needed to reach its goal of 20 million tons by 2028.
Polls say Abdo’s party is likely to lose some of the 20 seats it has in Paraguay’s 45-member Senate, which last year debated a bill to slap a 10% tax on soybean exports.
“The push for an export tax will intensify after the election, which is likely to see the empowering of the Frente Guasu, a major proponent of the initiative, and a party which is expected to substantially increase its presence in Congress,” said Thomaz Favaro, an analyst for consultancy Control Risks.
Abdo might have to support the export tax to safeguard other parts of his investment-friendly agenda.
“Uncertainty over the level of taxation for the agriculture industry will thus likely persist in the short-to-medium term,” Favaro said.
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