Wall Street futures, Asia stocks seesaw as Democrats win US House
Dollar erases losses, US bond yields near seven-year peak • Election results unlikely to relieve
TOKYO (Reuters) – Wall Street stock futures and Asian shares erased most of their earlier gains in choppy trade on Wednesday, as results from the US midterm elections showed Republicans losing their grip on Congress.
US S&P 500 futures were last up 0.15%, paring most of their 0.6% gain earlier, as the latest results improved the odds of opposition Democrats taking control of the House of Representatives.
The congressional elections is billed as a referendum on President Donald Trump’s polarizing style and “America First” policies.
Investor sentiment has been volatile in Asian trade with stocks and the dollar swinging on the Republicans’ fluctuating prospects of retaining the House. By late morning, broadcasters projecting that Democrats wrested control of the House.
Asian shares retained most of their gains but were off their highs with MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan up 0.3% while Japan’s Nikkei rose 1.2%.
Leading into the election, investors had expected the Democrats to gain a majority in the House and, as a result, remained skeptical about Trump’s proposal late last month on tax cuts for middle-income households.
Market participants had previously said a surprise House win by the Republicans could boost the chances of further tax cuts and pro-business policies while a Democratic victory was likely to have already been priced in.
In the US Senate race, the Republicans held an upper hand, unseating a Democratic incumbent in Indiana, which Democrats badly needed to win that chamber.
“The House results so far are showing a better than expected performance for the Republicans, even if they don’t keep the House,” said Steven Englander, global head of G10 FX research at Standard Chartered Bank in New York.
“So it doesn’t look like a big blue wave and Republicans might do a bit better than expected in the Senate and the market is therefore reacting with a stronger dollar, higher US yields and higher US equities,” he said.
On the other hand, many investors also expect Trump to continue to take a hard line on tariffs, which he can impose without Congressional approval. That keeps alive worries about a trade war between China and the United States.
Trump’s massive tax cut, enacted in December, and a spending agreement reached in February have helped lift the US economy, but they have also widened US federal budget deficit.
As a result, Treasury supply has been growing, pushing US bond yields higher.
The 10-year US Treasuries yield fell about 1 basis points to 3.193%, near its seven-year high of 3.261% touched a month ago, as investors sold ahead of this week’s record amounts of longer-dated government debt supply.
Oil prices were soft after a 2% fall the previous day, with US crude futures hitting an eightmonth low as Washington granted sanction waivers to top buyers of Iranian oil and as Iran said it has so far been able to sell as much oil as it needs to.
US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures traded down 0.7% at $61.78 a barrel having hit a low of $61.31 on Tuesday, the weakest price since March 16.
The dollar index recovered from early losses to trade slightly higher.
Against the yen, the US currency rose to one-month high of 113.82 yen while the euro stood flat at $1.1427, retreating from a rise to two-week high of $1.1473.
The yen stood steady at 113.45 per dollar while the British pound changed hands at $1.3100, flat on the day.
Earlier the sterling hit a threeweek high, extending gains on hopes of a Brexit deal breakthrough after Brexit Secretary Dominic Raab said “Thumbs up” on his way out of a cabinet meeting.
That helped sterling recover losses following remarks from a senior member of the Northern Irish Democratic Unionist Party earlier that it looked like Britain would exit the EU without a deal.