The Jerusalem Post

World shares remain near record peaks

- • By DHARA RANASINGHE

LONDON (Reuters) – World stocks remained just off record highs on Wednesday after climbing for five straight sessions, while Britain’s pound hit heavy losses due to Brexit uncertaint­y.

European equities edged higher after falling the day before as Britain’s Prime Minister Boris Johnson took a harder line on Brexit.

Earlier, Asian shares drifted down. Japan’s Nikkei dipped 0.6% and China’s stocks slipped, even after Beijing trimmed another short-term interest rate.

US equity futures were up, and MSCI’s world stock index stood just off record highs. It rallied almost 23% this year, set for its best year in a decade and the fourth-best year ever.

A recent run of better data has helped calm fears of a recession, while phase one of a SinoUS deal on trade appears to have eased some of the uncertaint­y in the global outlook.

German business morale rose more than expected in December to a six-month high, the Ifo survey showed on Wednesday, suggesting that Europe’s largest economy picked up steam in the fourth quarter.

Chris Bailey, European strategist at Raymond James, said in reference to China’s central bank, “I expect markets to end the year quietly but mildly positively, especially if the PBoC does nibble down the lending interest rate later this week... Bigger challenges naturally await for next year... But I think traders and investors will be happier to grapple with these actually in 2020.”

But it might be too soon to declare allclear on the political front. The democrat-led House of Representa­tives in the United States is expected to vote on Wednesday for two articles of impeachmen­t that charge President Donald Trump with abuse of power and obstructio­n of Congress.

Few expect the republican-dominated Senate

to convict Trump and force him from office, but the impeachmen­t process could focus attention on next year’s US election risks.

In Britain, Prime Minister Johnson says he will use the prospect of a Brexit cliff-edge at the end of 2020 to demand the EU give him a comprehens­ive free trade deal in under 11 months.

Sterling slid 1.5% on Tuesday in its largest one-day fall this year as fears of a hard Brexit resurfaced. The pound was last down 0.3%, at $1.3094, losing all the gains made since the Conservati­ve Party’s victory last Thursday.

“This is a correction of the election euphoria, slowly but surely, as the realizatio­n sets in that this whole Brexit drama is not over yet and just another deadline of a hard Brexit will be looming eventually at the end of the year,” said Thu Lan Nguyen, FX strategist at Commerzban­k AG.

Analysts said Thursday’s central bank meetings in Britain, Japan, Sweden and Norway could bring volatility.

Sweden’s central bank is expected to become the first to claw its way out of negative interest rates on Thursday, with analysts expecting a rise in the benchmark repo rate to zero from -0.25%.

The euro was down a fifth percent to $1.1127, and Japan’s yen was little changed, at 109.49 per dollar.

The Turkish lira reached its weakest level against the dollar in more than two months after the US Senate passed legislatio­n with provisions to punish Ankara, raising concern about already strained ties with Washington. It has lost more than 11% this year after a currency crisis chopped its value by 30% in 2018.

Elsewhere, oil prices fell from three-month highs as data showed US crude stocks rose unexpected­ly in the recent week. US crude fell 0.7% to $60.51 a barrel. Brent crude futures lost 0.4% to $65.83.

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