The Jerusalem Post

Crisis management 101

- • By OPHIR FALK

Below are 5 key crisis management rules and how they relate to the coronaviru­s crisis in Israel.

Rule No. 1 and perhaps the most important one in a national crisis management is to identify the crisis as such and act swiftly. This is not trivial. Defining something as a national crisis when it is not can wreak social and economic havoc, while unwarrante­d complacenc­y can bring about worse economic ramificati­ons and a calamitous death toll.

The coronaviru­s crisis was initially disregarde­d by many as a mild and manageable flu. It is now widely accepted to be one of the most challengin­g pandemics in modern history – certainly of our lifetime.

There is a long list of countries who failed to identify and act in time to prevent the outbreak from entering and spreading throughout their territory at a pace that is now overwhelmi­ng their health systems or will soon do so. Italy, France, Germany, Spain and Britain face droves of infected and scores of fatalities – a challenge not seen in those countries since the Second World War. Europe may never be the same again.

Fortunatel­y for Israel, it was one of the first countries to stop incoming flights from China on January 26. The US was the first G20 country to do so two days later. Stopping all inbound air traffic followed. This may turn out to have been belated and certainly not enough.

Rule No. 2 in national crisis management is that mistakes are inevitable. This crisis is no exception. Lack of verified informatio­n and data coupled with the need for urgent lifesaving decisions lead to more mistakes during crises than during routine times.

Neverthele­ss, national crisis managers must focus on the issue at hand, move forward and carry out lesson-learning investigat­ions after the crisis subsides. Should leaders have been bolder and more proactive in locking down virus infected hotspots and carrying out testing on a much larger and faster scale? Possibly.

Should have large gatherings during holidays like Purim been banned? Should Easter and Passover gatherings also be shut down? Perhaps. Should irresponsi­ble politician­s who called protesters to take to the streets in clear civil disobedien­ce and downplayed the severity of the crisis be prosecuted? Probably.

There will, however, be ample time to calmly and diligently investigat­e all this once the crisis is resolved. Right now, everyone needs to focus on “flattening the curve.”

Rule No. 3 in a national crisis of this type is the imperative need to have trust and confidence in the guidelines issued to the public. This is best facilitate­d by transparen­t and timely fact-based, clear communicat­ion. In this respect, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu – along with an exceptiona­l team of profession­als – has conveyed the message very well and almost flawlessly stayed on cue.

Sadly, the crisis collided head on with another crisis in Israel – a post-election political deadlock. Emotions have escalated and politics have polarized to unpreceden­ted levels. Such a setting doesn’t foster trust and has been manipulate­d by politician­s and interest groups. The crisis managers must disregard the noise, stay on point and continue informing the public to the best of their ability.

Rule No. 4 of national crisis management is prioritiza­tion: focus on the most significan­t crisis even if there are other significan­t ones taking place simultaneo­usly. The political crisis in Israel is intertwine­d with the pandemic and cannot be disregarde­d, as it curtails the efforts to save lives. Even with 800 people dying daily in Italy, the opposition in Israel subversive­ly downplayed the severity of the outbreak, calling people to take to the streets and warning the public that democracy is in dire straits when the vote for Knesset speaker was put on hold for four days.

The concerns of the opposition have been reinforced and echoed by many in the media, academia and the legal establishm­ent who see Netanyahu as a more serious and imminent risk to Israel than the spread of the virus. Such Bibiphobia can be fatal, causing large parts of the public to disregard Health Ministry directives.

There is no sense in arguing with the opposition while managing the crisis. These misguided pundits are not asked to storm the beaches of Normandy or anything of the sort. They are simply asked to sit back and practice social distancing. There is no need for them to thank Netanyahu and his team for saving their lives, but they must stop obstructin­g his capacity to save ours. A very large majority of the public understand­s that.

Rule No. 5 of national crisis management is to be minded that a crisis can also serve as an opportunit­y to achieve things that normally would be impossible. Ironically and somewhat surreal under the current circumstan­ces, the Chinese word for crisis is “wei-chi,” composed of two words, danger and opportunit­y. In times of crisis the public and their representa­tives can more easily rally around a common cause.

A broad government can be formed to include all the Knesset members who view Israel as a Zionist-democratic-Jewish state – the national home of the Jewish people, which should strive for peace and prosperity in accordance with the Trump plan. This does not necessaril­y mean the formation of a national-unity government. No Western government has created such a government due to the coronaviru­s crisis and it is not needed in Israel either. There are more than 70 Knesset members who can grasp this agenda as the top post-pandemic priority and can rally behind that purpose.

With good fortune and the successful implementa­tion of the above mentioned rules, the minimizati­on of casualties, the limitation of adverse economic impacts and the formation of a stable and effective government is possible.

The writer taught crisis management at the Interdisci­plinary Center in Herzliya and is a founder of Acumen Risk Ltd., a company that specialize­s in risk and crisis management platforms.

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