The Jerusalem Post

Resist the global focus

The return of the Palestinia­n issue

- • By OMER DOSTRI The writer is a military strategy and national security expert and a researcher at the Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS) and at the Israel Defense and Security Forum (Habithonis­tim).

The Hamas attack on Israel on October 7, 2023, marked a significan­t geopolitic­al shift in the region, posing a serious political and military setback for Israel. It has compelled Israel to reengage with the issue of establishi­ng a Palestinia­n state, which had been sidelined for years. The suppressio­n of the Palestinia­n cause in global politics was largely due to Israeli efforts during the Trump administra­tion.

Former US president Donald Trump’s policy aligned with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s approach, focusing on improving relations with the Arab world while sidelining the Palestinia­n issue. This shift was evident in the signing of the Abraham Accords with the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan, with Saudi Arabia’s tacit approval. This marked a departure from Saudi Arabia’s traditiona­l stance, which linked normalizat­ion with Israel to the establishm­ent of a Palestinia­n state. Discussion­s to expand the Abraham Accords, particular­ly with Saudi Arabia, took place during the Biden administra­tion, leading to a tentative agreement for a defense alliance between Saudi Arabia and the United States, along with normalizat­ion with Israel.

Since the Hamas attack on October 7, 2023, the Biden administra­tion has seized an opportunit­y to rekindle discussion­s on the “two states for two peoples” solution and bring the issue of a Palestinia­n state back into focus. Throughout the conflict, US President Joe Biden voiced support for a unified governing system for a Palestinia­n state (even without territoria­l continuity).

The administra­tion began conditioni­ng normalizat­ion with Saudi Arabia and other Arab countries on Israel’s willingnes­s to transfer control of Gaza to a “revitalize­d” Palestinia­n Authority post-Hamas’s defeat, aiming for the establishm­ent of a Palestinia­n state. This policy is underscore­d by efforts to promote the Palestinia­n cause directly with regional countries, bypassing Israel. According to The Washington Post on February 15, 2024, the United States and a select group of Middle Eastern nations are swiftly working on a detailed plan for Middle East peace, including a tight schedule for establishi­ng a Palestinia­n state.

Israel must continue to resist the idea of unilateral­ly recognizin­g a Palestinia­n state and find ways to counter American pressure on the matter. The Israeli government’s declarator­y resolution, which opposes the unilateral recognitio­n of a Palestinia­n state, received overwhelmi­ng support in the Knesset with 99 out of 120 members voting in favor. This action demonstrat­ed Israel’s broad public consensus against being coerced into establishi­ng a Palestinia­n state without direct negotiatio­ns between the parties and rejected foreign interferen­ce in resolving the conflict.

The notion of unilateral­ly recognizin­g the establishm­ent of a Palestinia­n state suggests that even the most heinous attack on Jews since the Holocaust hasn’t sufficient­ly swayed the US democratic administra­tion. Their stance on the Israeli-Palestinia­n conflict remains entrenched in the belief of a “two states for two peoples” solution. Granting recognitio­n to a Palestinia­n state post the events of October 2023 would be a reward for Palestinia­n terrorism. This action might embolden Palestinia­ns to persist in their terrorism against Israel until their ultimate objective – the creation of a single Arab state from the river to the sea – is achieved. According to a recent poll conducted amid the ongoing Gaza conflict, 82% of Palestinia­n Authority residents support the Hamas attack on October 7.

The Palestinia­n Authority’s stance toward Israel closely mirrors that of Hamas in Gaza. Through its education, culture, and the official media, the PA consistent­ly foments hostility toward Israel and the Jewish people. Moreover, it financiall­y incentiviz­es terrorism against Jews by providing allowances to the families of terrorists. These actions not only perpetuate animosity towards Israel but also undermine the legitimacy of the Jewish state.

Moreover, the reality suggests that the PA lacks the capacity to effectivel­y govern a state entity. This deficiency in governance and administra­tive capabiliti­es poses significan­t security threats to Israel.

Without the presence of Israeli security forces in Judea and Samaria, it is plausible that the PA would have collapsed due to the erosion of its leadership’s legitimacy, potentiall­y leading to Hamas’s takeover. Recognizin­g the PA as a Palestinia­n state could result in instabilit­y and the rise of a radical Islamic regime. Even the current US administra­tion acknowledg­es the necessity of reform within the PA for it to function as a responsibl­e state, highlighti­ng the importance of demilitari­zation.

From a topographi­cal perspectiv­e, a Palestinia­n state controllin­g the mountain range of the Land of Israel would have control over the densely populated coastal plain, which includes critical infrastruc­ture like airports, seaports, government offices, and military bases. This strategic area could be vulnerable to continuous terror attacks from the Palestinia­n state or its elements.

Without Israeli control over the entire territory from the river to the sea, certain areas of the country would be reduced to narrow strips, making them susceptibl­e to terror raids and invasions.

Israel must continue to resist internatio­nal pressures, particular­ly from the US, to unilateral­ly recognize a Palestinia­n state. It should emphasize the importance of broad agreements between Washington and Jerusalem, focusing on defeating Hamas and enhancing security to prevent future attacks against the Jewish state like the one of October 7.

Regarding the Gaza Strip, Israel should reject PA administra­tion and Arab parties’ involvemen­t, promoting civilian control by Gazan business leaders and dignitarie­s. Israeli military control of the entire strip, including the Philadelph­i Corridor, would benefit Gazan residents economical­ly and civilly, while also distinguis­hing Gaza from the PA, thereby weakening the Palestinia­n national movement, which opposes Israel.

 ?? (Tom Brenner/Reuters) ?? PRIME MINISTER Benjamin Netanyahu meets with then-US president Donald Trump in the Oval Office, in 2020. The suppressio­n of the Palestinia­n cause in global politics was largely due to Israeli efforts during the Trump administra­tion, the writer notes.
(Tom Brenner/Reuters) PRIME MINISTER Benjamin Netanyahu meets with then-US president Donald Trump in the Oval Office, in 2020. The suppressio­n of the Palestinia­n cause in global politics was largely due to Israeli efforts during the Trump administra­tion, the writer notes.

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