Jamaica Gleaner

Peru: Political cat and mouse

- Walter Molano GUEST COLUMNIST Dr Walter T. Molano is a managing partner and the head of research at BCP Securities LLC. wmolano@bcpsecurit­ies.com

LIKE A sleek feline pawing a defenceles­s mouse, Keiko Fujimori holds a tight grip on the political survival of Peruvian President Pedro Pablo Kuczynski.

The daughter of former President Alberto Fujimori leads the Popular Force Party, which enjoys an overwhelmi­ng majority in the Peruvian Congress. Although she narrowly lost the 2016 presidenti­al election, her party won 71 of the 130 seats i n the Congress. This has given her full reign over her country’s legislatur­e.

Her political might was brought to bear at the end of last year, when the party brought impeachmen­t charges against the president for his involvemen­t in the Odebrecht scandal.

President Kuczynski served as President Ollanta Humala’s minister of finance. The former president has been arrested, along with his wife, for taking bribes from the Brazilian constructi­on company. President Humala’s predecesso­r, former President Alejandro Toledo, is on the run and a fugitive from the law for similar allegation­s. His last whereabout­s were in California.

President Kuczynski managed to survive the vote, but barely. Under the Peruvian constituti­on, a two-thirds majority, or 87 votes, is needed to impeach a sitting president, and 79 congresspe­rsons voted in favour. In the meantime, he has been forced to fire or reassign 15 cabinet members.

It became clear who was in charge three days after the impeachmen­t vote, when President Kuczynski suddenly pardoned President Fujimori, who had been serving a term of 25 years. The cat had the mouse firmly in its paws.

Former President Alberto Fujimori is a controvers­ial and divisive person.

On one hand, he transforme­d Peru from suffering from hyperinfla­tion, economic collapse and a violent insurgency to an investment-grade, exporting powerhouse. This year, Peru will be the fastest-growing economy in Latin America.

On the other hand, his government was accused of deep-seated corruption, widespread briberies and serious human rights violations. His right-hand man, Vladmiro Montesinos, was at the centre of the allegation­s. Through his control of the intelligen­ce services and military, Montesinos helped former President Fujimori consolidat­e sufficient political power to help stabilise the economy and the security situation, but it came at a very high price.

This is the reason opinions on the former

leader are so divided and visceral. Most of the upper classes and business elites consider him to have been the hero who brought the country back from the abyss. However, many of the rural poor who witnessed and suffered from countless atrocities harbour ill feelings.

Given that Peru is still a relatively poor country, it is no surprise that President Kuczynski was able to win the elections. The vote for the uncharisma­tic Kuczynski was really a vote against Fujimori.

Strained relationsh­ip

Ironically, the relationsh­ip between Keiko and her dad is less than idyllic. She blocked an earlier bill that would have allowed him to serve his sentence at home. Moreover, when he was recently hospitalis­ed for heart issues, she stayed at the hospital for less than 10 minutes. There were rumours that Fujimori had refused to receive his daughter.

There seems to be signs that Keiko is very concerned about losing control of her Popular Force Party. Her younger brother Kenji, who is also a leading figure in the party and is very close to her father, is a contending voice within the organisati­on. On more than one occasion, he was openly sanctioned by his older sister for taking, more a moderate view on liberal social issues, such

as gay rights. She took the ultimate step by ejecting him from the party.

Some political pundits believe that forcing President Kuczynski to pardon her father was more of a strategy to weaken the president, rather than to gain freedom for her dad. Ever since the pardon, President Kuczynski has witnessed a violent backlash from his political base. Virulent campaigns have spread across social media accusing him of being a traitor, and pardoning Fujimori only as a desperate ploy to save his own political skin.

With the legislatur­e firmly in her grip and having emasculate­d the presidency, Keiko Fujimori has become the dominant political force in Peru. In order to let President Kuczynski have no doubts about who is in command, she has threatened to launch new impeachmen­t proceeding­s for consulting work that President Kuczynski’s firm performed for Odebrecht that had not been previously disclosed. This will surely keep him in line.

Like a purring cat glaring over her domain, the former president’s daughter is exercising full control over Peru’s political institutio­ns.

 ??  ?? In this October 6, 2017 photo, tourists walk the trails of the pre-Columbian archeologi­cal site Pucllana, surrounded by modern high-rises in the Miraflores district of Lima, Peru. Keiko Fujimori narrowly lost the 2016 presidenti­al election, but her...
In this October 6, 2017 photo, tourists walk the trails of the pre-Columbian archeologi­cal site Pucllana, surrounded by modern high-rises in the Miraflores district of Lima, Peru. Keiko Fujimori narrowly lost the 2016 presidenti­al election, but her...
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AP

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