Crowding-in not matched by credit

MORE THAN a year ago, the Bank of Jamaica, BOJ, reported that the Government’s crowding the private sector out of the capital markets was at an end, but the International Monetary Fund, IMF, is now saying that it is not matched by a crowding-in of private-sector credit creation.

The fund said the phasing out of fiscal dominance and the move to historically low interest rates have opened space for financial institutions to fund private-sector activity. H o w e v e r, financial intermediaries have been slow to reshape their business models towards lending to the real economy.

Fiscal dominance is an economic condition that occurs when a country has a large government debt and deficit such that monetary policy targets keeping the government from bankruptcy as opposed to economic targets such as inflation, growth and employment.

Jamaica Bankers Association President David Noel has not responded to requests for comment on whether the matter was being addressed by bankers and the group’s response to the IMF’s observations.

In February 2017, BOJ Governor Brian Wynter, at his quarterly briefing on monetary policy, said the financial data spanning several quarters pointed to a crowding-in effect, in which the financing needs of companies were being met as the State’s appetite for debt waned.

“Years, and decades even, of feeding an insatiable appetite for borrowing by the government and its agencies diverted the flow of financial resources from the private sector and made investment harder and more costly, and this impeded growth,” Wynter said.

However, the IMF, in its November 2018 country report on Jamaica, said necessary supply-side reforms continue to constrain private-sector crowding-in, particularly in accessing and pricing of credit.

Concurrently, capital market intermediation has been largely dominated by liabilities issued by financial entities, the IMF said.

“There is a need to better incentivise the system of