Arab Times

Lagarde warns US won’t meet targets

Amid slow reforms

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IMF chief Christine Lagarde warned Wednesday that the US will fall short of its ambitious economic growth goals unless it can accelerate promised policy changes, including tax reform.

The Trump administra­tion has said it will push US growth to three percent annually — a rate economists say is unrealisti­c, given the low US unemployme­nt rate, among other factors.

The Internatio­nal Monetary Fund cut its growth forecast for the US economy this year back to 2.1 percent after reforms expected to boost the activity failed to materializ­e.

Asked on CBS This Morning if the US could reach its growth target, Lagarde said, “We think it is going to be very difficult, yes. Particular­ly if the reform pace is as slow as it is.”

Lagarde noted that “there were very strong market expectatio­ns early in the calendar year after the elections that tax reform would take place promptly, that massive investment would be made in infrastruc­ture.”

However, she said, “none of that has materializ­ed at all.”

The IMF in January raised its US growth estimates on the expectatio­n of fiscal stimulus and tax reform from the Trump administra­tion, but reverted back to the previous calculatio­ns which project the economy will expand by 2.1 percent in 2017 and 2018, down from 2.3 percent and 2.5 percent, respective­ly.

She said the fund supports tax reform in principle and is prepared to “make recommenda­tions to boost growth, create jobs, (and) restore middle-class income” in the US.

The fund will publish the revised growth forecasts in its World Economic Outlook in mid-October.

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