Arab Times

US ‘prepared’ to fight back if attacked, says Pentagon

Eyes on ‘gift’ launch

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WASHINGTON, Dec 21, (Agencies): The US is “prepared” to retaliate if attacked by North Korea, the Pentagon warned on Friday.

Tensions are growing between the two countries after Pyongyang conducted two rocket engine tests this month.

“North Korea has indicated a variety of things and I think you are aware of all of those so we are prepared for whatever,” Chairman of the US joint chiefs of staff Gen Mark Milley told a press briefing.

Despite this, Defence Secretary Mark Esper said he remains “hopeful” that US envoy to North Korea Stephen Biegun’s talks in China to relaunch denucleari­zation talks with Pyongyang would bear fruit.

“Clearly we think that a political solution is the best way forward to denucleari­ze the (Korean) Peninsula and to address North Korea’s programmes,” he said.

The US is closely watching North Korea for signs of a possible missile launch or nuclear test in the coming days that officials are referring to as a “Christmas surprise.”

A significan­t launch or test would mean the end of North Korea’s self-imposed moratorium and raise tensions in the region. It would also be a major blow to one of the Trump administra­tion’s major foreign policy initiative­s: the drive to get North Korea back to negotiatio­ns to eliminate its nuclear weapons and missiles.

Earlier this month, the North conducted what US officials say was an engine test. North Korea described it as “crucial” and experts believe that it may have involved an engine for a space launch vehicle or long-range missile. Officials worry that it could be a prelude to the possible launch of an interconti­nental ballistic missile in the coming days or weeks.

Involving

Any test involving an ICBM would have the most serious impact on the diplomatic effort because it would be considered a move by North Korea to acquire the ability to strike the United States, or, even worse, to show they already have it.

“North Korea has been advancing. It has been building new capabiliti­es,” said Anthony Wier, a former State Department official who tracks nuclear disarmamen­t for the Friends Committee on National Legislatio­n. “As long as that continues, they gain new capabiliti­es to try new missiles to threaten us and our allies in new ways,”

The North Koreans warned of a possible “Christmas gift” in early December, saying the Trump administra­tion was running out of time to salvage nuclear negotiatio­ns, and it was up to the US to choose what “Christmas gift ” it gets from the North. President Donald Trump tweeted Friday that he discussed North Korea with China’s President Xi Jinping.

Victor Cha, a Korea expert at the Center for Strategic and Internatio­nal Studies, said a review of the possible launch sites in North Korea show that they are a “basically ready to go.”

He said the expected launch could be a test of a seabased ballistic missile or a solid-fuel rocket.

Using solid fuel allows North Korea to more quickly fuel up a rocket, providing less lead time for the US or others to prepare for a launch. Sea-based launches are also more difficult to locate and would give less warning or time for the US to react.

Either one, he said, “would be a new type of problem that the US would have to deal with.”

Defense Secretary Mark Esper told reporters earlier this week that the US has heard all the talk of a possible upcoming test around Christmas.

“I’ve been watching the Korean Peninsula for a quarter-century now. I’m familiar with their tactics, with their bluster,” he said. “We need to get serious and sit down and have discussion­s about a political agreement that denucleari­zes the peninsula. That is the best way forward and arguably the only way forward if we’re going to do something constructi­ve.”

Deputy Secretary of State Stephen Biegun, the special US envoy for North Korea, has also warned of a possible launch.

“We are fully aware of the strong potential for North Korea to conduct a major provocatio­n in the days ahead,” he said. “To say the least, such an action will be most unhelpful in achieving lasting peace on the Korean Peninsula.”

Army Gen. Mark Milley, the chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff, told reporters on Friday that the US, Japan and South Korea are ready to defend against any move by the North. “We always maintain very high levels of readiness,” he said.

Statement

At a meeting in Singapore in June 2018, Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un issued a joint statement that said the North “commits to work toward complete denucleari­zation of the Korean Peninsula.”

But negotiatio­ns stalled this year after the US rejected North Korean demands for broad sanctions relief in exchange for a partial surrender of the North’s nuclear capabiliti­es at Kim’s second summit with Trump last February.

Since then, Pyongyang’s testing and rhetoric has escalated.

Since the Singapore summit, Cha said, Pyongyang has done more testing and grown their missile capabiliti­es. “By most metrics, the Trump policy is not succeeding,” he said.

According to the US military, North Korea has launched more than 20 missiles this year. They’ve included new types of missiles as well as a submarinel­aunched ballistic missile, in violation of UN Security Council resolution­s.

“The Trump administra­tion and President Trump himself deserves some credit for allowing diplomacy,” Wier said. “That’s a good thing. Now is the time to empower real diplomacy.”

North Korea conducted a torrent of missile tests in 2017.

It flew two new intermedia­te-range missiles over Japan and threatened to fire those weapons toward the US territory of Guam. It also tested three developmen­tal ICBMs, including the Hwasong-15 that demonstrat­ed potential range to reach deep into the US mainland.

Those ICBM tests, however, showed no clear sign that the North had perfected the technology needed to ensure that a warhead could survive the harsh conditions of atmospheri­c re-entry.

According to experts at 38 North, a website specializi­ng in North Korea studies, all of the 2017 launches were on highly lofted trajectori­es and the missiles’ reentry vehicles were not subjected to the thermal and mechanical stresses that would be created by a full-range flight.

Experts said North Korea needed additional flight tests to determine the reliabilit­y and accuracy of its ICBMs and establish a capable re-entry protection system.

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