US outlines plan for Venezuela transition
Five-person council
MIAMI, April 1, (AP): The Trump administration is prepared to lift crippling sanctions on Venezuela in support of a new proposal to form a transitional government requiring both Nicolas Maduro and opposition leader Juan Guaidó to step aside in favor of a five-person governing council, US officials said.
The one-page “Democratic Transition Framework for Venezuela” was presented Tuesday by Secretary of State Mike Pompeo. It echoes a proposal made over the weekend by Guaidó that shows how growing concerns about the coronavirus, which threatens to overwhelm the South American country’s already collapsed health system and economy, are reviving US attempts to pull the military apart from Maduro.
“This framework can provide a path that ends the suffering and opens the path to a brighter future for Venezuela,” said Pompeo in Washington.
Plan
Under the plan, both Maduro and Guaidó, who some 60 countries recognize as Venezuela’s rightful leader, would step aside and cede power to a five-member council of state to govern the country until presidential and parliamentary elections can be held within 6-12 months. The military high command – the traditional arbiter of political disputes in Venezuela and a key plank of support for Maduro – would remain in place for the duration of the transitional government.
Four of the members would be appointed by the oppositioncontrolled National Assembly that Guaidó heads. To draw buy-in from the ruling socialist party, a twothirds majority would be required. The fifth member, who would serve as interim president until elections are held, would be named by the other council members. Neither Maduro nor Guaidó would be on the council but Pompeo said Guaidó would be free to run for president when elections are held.
“The hope is that this setup promotes the selection of people who are very broadly respected and known as people who can work with the other side,” US Special Representative for Venezuela Elliott Abrams told the AP in a preview of the plan. “Even people in the regime look at this and realize Maduro has to go, but the rest of us are being treated well and fairly.”
The plan also outlines for the first time US requirements for lifting sanctions against Maduro officials and the oil industry – the source of nearly all of Venezuela’s foreign income.
While those accused of grave human rights abuses and drug trafficking are not eligible for sanctions relief, individuals who are blacklisted because of the position they hold inside the Maduro government – such as members of the supreme court, electoral council and the rubber-stamp constitutional assembly – would benefit.
But for sanctions to vanish, Abrams said the council would need to be functioning and all foreign military forces – from Cuba or Russia – would need to leave the country.
Discussion
“What we’re hoping is that this really intensifies a discussion inside the army, Chavismo, the ruling socialist party and the regime on how to get out of the terrible crisis they’re in,” Abrams said.
Maduro’s Foreign Minister Jorge Arreaza all but rejected the call for dialogue, saying Maduro “never will betray the vote of confidence that the people gave him.”
For months, the US has relied on economic and diplomatic pressure to try and break the military’s support for Maduro and last week US prosecutors indicted Maduro and key stakeholders – including his defense minister and head of the supreme court – on drug trafficking and money laundering charges.
Still, any power-sharing arrangement is unlikely to win Maduro’s support unless the thorny issue of his future is addressed and he’s protected from the US justice system, said David Smilde, a senior fellow at the Washington Office on Latin America.
“It’s a little hard to see how this is going to be convincing to the major players in the government,” said David Smilde, a senior fellow at the Washington Office on Latin America. “They seem to think the military is going to step in, but that seems extremely unlikely.”
It also would require the support of Cuba, China or Russia, all of whom are key backers of Maduro.
The standoff between Maduro and Guaidó has only grown more tense in recent days.