Arab Times

By Joe McDonald

- In this file photo, employees work on a car assembly line at the Dongfeng Honda Automobile Co, Ltd factory in Wuhan in central China’s Hubei province. The United States, Japan and France are prodding their companies to rely less on China to make the world

The United States, Japan and France are prodding their companies to rely less on China to make the world’s smartphone­s, drugs and other products. But even after the coronaviru­s derailed trade, few want to leave China’s skilled workforce and efficient suppliers of raw materials to move to other countries.

Disruption­s from the pandemic, on top of the US-Chinese tariff war, fueled warnings that relying too much on China leaves global companies vulnerable to costly breakdowns in the event of disasters or political conflict.

Drug makers stand out as one industry that is trying to reduce reliance on Chinese suppliers by setting up sources of raw materials in the United States and Europe. But consumer electronic­s, medical devices and other industries are sticking with China.

“I don’t know of a single company right now that is moving ahead with any plans to move,” said Harley Seyedin, president of the American Chamber of Commerce in South China.

China’s explosive rise as the world’s low-cost factory helped to hold down consumer prices and boosted Western corporate profits. But it has fueled political tension over lost American and European blue collar jobs. Government­s and industry consultant­s fret that dependence on China can be a threat to supply chains and possibly national security.

Chinese factories assemble most of the world’s smartphone­s and consumer electronic­s and a growing share of medical equipment, industrial robots and other high-tech goods. This country is a dominant supplier of vitamin C and ingredient­s for antibiotic­s and other medicines. The ruling Communist Party has spent two decades building ports, railways, telecom networks and other facilities that are regarded as among the world’s best.

“China still offers an unparallel­ed supply chain for any industry,” said Jit Lim of Alvarez & Marsal, a management consulting firm.

Philip Richardson, who manufactur­es loudspeake­rs in Panyu, near Hong Kong, said he has looked at Vietnam and other countries. But he said while their wages might be as low as 60% of China’s, the savings will be eaten up by the cost of giving up his network of Chinese suppliers.

“We gave it considerat­ion for about a minute, and it doesn’t make sense,” said Richardson, who has worked in

China for 22 years. “When you buy magnets, now you have to pay for transporta­tion and customs duties into other countries, whereas in China we just buy the magnets and they are shipping to us.”

President Donald Trump took office in 2017 promising to “bring back our jobs.” The next year’s tariff hikes on goods from China in a fight over technology and trade prompted some exporters to shift production. But changes were small. Most went to other developing countries.

The pandemic has raised political pressure for companies to move.

The Japanese government, which sees China as a strategic rival, is offering 220 billion yen ($2 billion) to companies that move production to Japan in a virus aid package announced in April. It offers 23.5 billion yen ($220 million) for Japanese companies in China to move to other countries.

The tariff war prompted concern about China’s dominance as a supplier of active pharmaceut­ical ingredient­s, or APIs, used in antibiotic­s and vitamins. Some American commentato­rs warned Beijing might retaliate by withholdin­g APIs, though was there no sign that happened.

“There will be an increase in the repatriati­on of national drug supply chains and the re-establishm­ent of national strategic manufactur­ing capabiliti­es for key drugs,” Sakshi Sikka, who follows the industry for Fitch Solutions, said in an email.

In May, the US government awarded a contract worth up to $812 million over 10 years to Phlow Corp, a Virginia company set up to insure against drug shortages by producing ingredient­s and generics.

In Europe, French drugmaker Sanofi SA is setting up an API supplier to reduce reliance on China. Sanofi says the company will be the No. 2 global producer, with annual sales of 1 billion euros by 2022.

India and Indonesia have announced plans to increase their own production of pharmaceut­ical raw materials.

Those changes are politicall­y driven and will push up costs, while China’s dominance as a global supplier is unlikely to change in the near future, according to Fitch’s Sikka.

Companies including Nike Inc that used to make shoes, furniture, clothes and other low-margin goods in China have been migrating for a decade to Southeast Asia, Africa and other economies in search of cheaper labor.

For higher-end shoes, however, US import duties would have to rise even further before sites such

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