The six-month par­lia­ment

Kuwait Times - - FROM THE ARABIC PRESS - By Thaar Al-Rasheedi

The new cabi­net seems to be so flex­i­ble that, in com­par­i­son with the pre­vi­ous one, at least four min­is­ters will re­sign or be forced to re­sign for any rea­son, be that to avoid a grilling mo­tion or to make ur­gent po­lit­i­cal adap­ta­tions. This gov­ern­ment is flex­i­ble enough to ‘ab­sorb’ a mag­ni­tude eight par­lia­men­tary quake re­gard­less of whether it is in­ten­tional or not. The cur­rent gov­ern­ment for­ma­tion and the way port­fo­lios have been distributed in­di­cate that it can re­sist all sorts of po­lit­i­cal shocks.

The first grilling mo­tion will give a full re­view of law­mak­ers’ at­ti­tudes, namely of those who have not, so far, showed any clearly de­fined po­lit­i­cal af­fil­i­a­tions. The first mo­tion will end up mak­ing a lim­ited reshuf­fle. Fur­ther mo­tions will be sub­jected to the ups and downs of re­fer­ral to the leg­isla­tive or con­sti­tu­tional com­mit­tees. So, the mo­tion to be filed by the op­po­si­tion will carry no sur­prises and the sce­nar­ios are very pre­dictable.

How­ever, if at any point a grilling mo­tion is filed by a pro-gov­ern­ment MP, it could lead to con­sti­tu­tion­ally dis­solv­ing the par­lia­ment af­ter fil­ing a mo­tion of lack of co­op­er­a­tion with the gov­ern­ment. Ac­cord­ing to the cur­rent par­lia­men­tary struc­ture, grilling mo­tions filed by any op­po­si­tion MP against any min­is­ter will not have any sig­nif­i­cant im­pact re­gard­less of how im­por­tant the is­sue dis­cussed is.

The mo­tion will not get enough ma­jor­ity sup­port to knock off grilled min­is­ter. But if the mo­tion is filed by a pro-gov­ern­ment MP, the par­lia­ment will be dis­solved within a week with­out fur­ther dis­cus­sion. This raises a ques­tion whether this par­lia­ment will be an­nulled or not. As a mat­ter of fact, 21 can­di­dates have so far filed con­tests and any of these can lead to dis­solv­ing the par­lia­ment, though this is not likely to hap­pen, es­pe­cially since the con­tests are based on vote-counts and they can re­place some MPs but are ex­pected to find a strong le­gal loop­hole to get the par­lia­ment an­nulled.

A con­sti­tu­tional dis­so­lu­tion is not likely to hap­pen, though the door is open for that, be­cause this par­lia­ment has lim­ited op­po­si­tion. All grilling mo­tions are con­trolled by the gov­ern­ment. Fi­nally, like I pre­vi­ously pre­dicted, this par­lia­ment will only last for six months but now I be­lieve it will not even last that long.

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