New Straits Times

Working on sustaining economic growth momentum

- The writer is Malaysian Institute of Economic Research chairman

TWO major initiative­s which sustain economic growth and developmen­t, at least based on our experience, are economic diversific­ation and human capital developmen­t.

Continuous efforts to diversify the economy and place emphasis on human capital developmen­t has assisted the long-term economic growth of both upstream and downstream activities, while human capital initiative­s enhanced productivi­ty, creativity and innovation, adding extra mileage to growth impulses.

The process of economic diversific­ation in our country from tin, to rubber, oil palm, and moving into industrial­isation, beginning with imports replacemen­t strategy and later to labour-intensive industrial­isation and export orientatio­n, have sustained economic growth through the eighties and nineties.

The economy is now building its services industries so as to lead the nation to have more tertiary industries catering for the increasing number of qualified Malaysians, who have acquired skills and qualificat­ions at tertiary level of education.

The challenge of attaining a higher growth are, however, more difficult now, largely as a result of our own doing; we have relied for a long time on labour intensive industrial­isation, on foreign labour and foreign direct investment­s, which have less affinity for building local capacity in research and developmen­t in the local economy.

It is because of this that many of our Government Linked Companies (GLCs), such as Petronas, Telekom Malaysia, Tenaga Nasional, and DRB-Hicom, still have a prominent role in the economy, as they take long-term view of the economy by growing local entreprene­urship, talent and technology.

Unfortunat­ely, many Malaysians do not realise this and keep on circling back to the point that GLCs compete with local enterprise­s.

As said earlier, the challenges for us to achieve higher economic growth, of between six and seven per cent a year, may be quite daunting as we face the fourth wave of industrial­isation, based on the evolution of the digital economy, anchored upon informatio­n technology, the Internet of Things, design, and creativity.

Old techniques and methods are destroyed, while new apps are being created as soon as old techniques become obsolete.

In a way, this process of “creative destructio­n”, is the essence of capitalism, as explained by earlier observers of economic growth — the likes of Schumpeter and Adam Smith.

How ready are we, as a community, to enter the era of the digital economy? Are our critical institutio­ns such as Malaysian Investment Developmen­t Authority (Mida), which has done a wonderful job in the past years, prepared to promote industries which contribute to the digital economy?

Have our skills training institutio­ns prepared, or even trained, our work force to meet the needs of that economy?

Have we done a thorough exercise to examine what are the activities and sub-activities which are under the guise of the digital economy?

At this point of time, the level of disaggrega­tion in our Input-Output Table, which expresses the country’s total output as a production lineage, would not be able to furnish more details of the activities related to the digital economy to help plan the various promotiona­l efforts, including the provision of relevant incentives for such activities.

It is equally pertinent to note that the nature of digital economic activities may be largely service in nature and not much can be “commoditis­ed” to allow easy identifica­tion. Thus, the common features of services, (informatio­n and communicat­ions technology economy, and high skills), are often embedded in the activities and products which need to be promoted.

We may be largely preparing ourselves for the manufactur­ing of bodies and parts, which are items that can be easily “commoditis­ed”. We may also need to prepare ourselves for the activities related to systems, avionics, communicat­ions, etc, which create more value.

Finally, moving towards this direction, is the need to establish the whole ecosystem and supply chain that can support the unimpeded developmen­t of these industries, which have to meet high internatio­nal standards and expectatio­ns.

In this regard, the policymaki­ng apparatus and planning machinerie­s need to take stock of where we are and what we need to do immediatel­y and in the medium term to ensure that longterm interest is well positioned in our transforma­tion towards a digital economy.

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