New Straits Times

A NEW REALITY IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY

The future is bright and promising for Malaysia, China and the world with OBOR

- The writer is director, Asian Research Institute of Banking and Finance (ARIBF), Universiti Utara Malaysia

colourants from bio-waste materials to substitute synthetic dyes and chemical mordants. She experiment­ed on cotton fabrics until she got the right combinatio­n of five materials to produce a dark brown colour.

The experience at science fairs teaches participan­ts not only science, but, as it turns out, also about life when I interviewe­d some of the past Intel ISEF winners in 2014.

Salma Yasmin Mohd Yusof, a participan­t in 2000, who is now a doctor, said during the interview that she would not be as adventurou­s in trying new experience­s or pushing her creative self if it was not for Intel ISEF.

Ijaz Khalif Abdul Malek, now a chemical engineer, who competed in 2007, said being able to interact with so many talented young scientists blew his mind.

With science becoming increasing­ly cross-disciplina­ry and internatio­nal, the earlier students start building their network, the better. That network can be the key to staying and succeeding in science, technology, engineerin­g or mathematic­s. It has also been an excellent way for them to qualify for scholarshi­ps and distinguis­h university applicatio­ns from their experience.

For Faye, it was even more meaningful. In 2015, the Lincoln Observator­y Near-Earth Object Team named an asteroid 31460Jongs­owfei (1999 CV19) to honour her success at Intel ISEF in 2014.

Science research competitio­ns can nurture vital learning and life skills. They do it in a way that textbook learning cannot. For the last 18 years, a small number of our students have been lucky to benefit from the experience of participat­ing in the competitio­n.

However, early this year, Intel announced that it would stop backing the science fair after nearly 20 years of partnershi­p to redefine “what it means to be an innovator by expanding access to technology skills and experience­s and connecting more people to opportunit­y”.

The Society for Science and the Public is beginning its search for a new sponsor for this global competitio­n for 2020 and beyond.

RECENTLY, in his first interview as United States president with magazine, Donald Trump explained and laid down his economic vision for the US and the global economy. This is perhaps his most comprehens­ive explanatio­n about what he wants to do for the economy, though the United Kingdom-based magazine still deemed it inadequate and incoherent, and considerin­g it more like a business wishlist rather than an economic plan.

Be that as it may, Trump’s grand strategy for the economy, or “Trumponomi­cs”, has three crucial objectives: achieve fairer trade deals; reduce taxes and deregulati­on; and, spur more infrastruc­ture spending. All these, he believes, will create jobs, promote growth, reduce trade deficits and create an investment boom for the US economy. There are, of course, some issues with his proposal, like how he could get Congress to implement his expansive tax cuts and fund massive infrastruc­ture projects.

Trumponomi­cs is also seen as self-contradict­ory and has been based on a misdiagnos­is of the root cause of the US’s trade deficit. The magazine argues that the focus on addressing trade deficit without improving savings would jeopardise the US economy with the possible reduction in foreign capital flowing into the US in the long run.

While these are issues that can be debated further, I think the crucial takeaway from reading the interview is about his exposition, albeit shallow, on the economic philosophy that underpin his grand economic design. In his own words, it is about “self-respect as a nation”. He further elaborated: “It has to do with trade deals that have to be fair.”

Now, it appears clearer that the US economic policy under his watch will be one that is based on economic nationalis­m and more of the “America first” mantra, which he had promulgate­d during his inaugurati­on speech earlier this year. This gives us, at least for now, a very brief vision of what Trumponomi­cs entails, which is expected to tilt more towards protection­ist and populist paradigms.

In the Far East, a different vision of the world has been offered. Led by China, it is called the One Belt, One Road (OBOR) initiative. The forum on OBOR was held about a week after Trump’s interview.

An initiative that began about three years ago, OBOR is set to transform the 21st century global economy in a significan­t way. It comprises 65 nations and covers 60 per cent of the world’s population, or around 4.5 billion people, and a third of global gross domestic product (GDP).

OBOR is significan­t in two fundamenta­l ways. First, it is an affirmatio­n that the gravity of the global economy has shifted from the West to Asia. Second, it is a manifestat­ion of China taking the mantle of leadership on globalisat­ion and free market from the US.

OBOR has captured the “new reality” emerging in the 21st century global economy. And certainly, from this point of view, Malaysia, under Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak, has read the developmen­t well and has positioned Malaysia vis-à-vis this “new reality”. It is about having the right vision and foresight to anticipate what might happen and make the right move at the right time. This is reminiscen­t of a similar move by his late father, Tun Abdul Razak Hussein, who was Malaysia’s second prime minister, when he forged diplomatic ties with China in 1974, the first country in Southeast Asia to do so.

During his speech at the OBOR forum, Chinese President Xi Jinping set a refreshing tone of a win-win cooperatio­n in a world where populist, right-wing movements have gained traction following the Brexit referendum and Trump’s presidency.

“We need to seek results through greater openness and cooperatio­n, avoid fragmentat­ion, refrain from setting inhibitive thresholds for cooperatio­n or pursuing exclusive arrangemen­ts, and reject protection­ism”, he said. At the forum, Xi also unleashed an extra fund of US$124 billion (RM536.61 billion) to connect Asia, Europe, the Middle East and Africa through infrastruc­ture developmen­t to bolster trade and investment under the OBOR agenda.

Malaysia is indeed one of the first beneficiar­ies of OBOR through the East Coast Rail Line project, which is funded by China’s Exim Bank. This is part of the many fruitful results of Najib’s visit to China in November when RM144 billion worth of investment­s were signed.

In March, the first Digital Free Trade Zone in Malaysia was establishe­d, the first in the world outside China, with billionair­e Jack Ma as digital economic adviser to the government.

During the Belt and Road Forum, the bilateral relationsh­ip between Malaysia and China was further enhanced, especially with the nine memoranda of understand­ing signed in the constructi­on, agricultur­e and finance sectors worth US$7.22 billion.

All these will boost prosperity for Malaysia, China and the world. In other words, the future is bright and promising under OBOR. The accusation that Malaysia will sell its sovereignt­y to China is baseless and unfounded. On the contrary, this is about Malaysia not falling into a trap of protection­ism and isolationi­sm. It is about Malaysia’s commitment to open trade and economic liberalisa­tion, and the confidence to compete with the rest of the world as we march towards a high income and developed nation status in a little more than three years.

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