Keeping trade flowing after Brexit won’t be plain sailing

TheBritishgovernment has held talks with shipping firms to secure back-up vessels in case Britain exits the European Union with no trade deal but it is unlikely to make progress as most ships are booked for other business, industry sources say.

One source told Reuters that, as well as talking to commercial shipping firms, the government was also seeking to put specialist transport ships controlled by Britain’s defence ministry on stand- by to keep cross- Channel trade flowing, although those vessels are now involved in operations elsewhere.

If Britain leaves the EU on March 29 without a trade deal, extra ships will be needed to work new routes across the Channel in case the main French terminal of Calais and Britain’s Dover and Folkestone are clogged up by customs checks.

“If there is major chaos at Dover, it is vital to ensure that trucks don’t get backed up and the government is exploring the use of commercial ships,” an industry source said.

“The trouble is many of these carriers will have agreed to charters already,” he said, adding that about 85 percent of capacity on roll- on, roll- off ( RORO) ships was booked several months ahead.

The sources did not say how many more ships Britain would be need.

The government said it was preparing for all eventualities to ensure trade flowed smoothly.

About 16,000 trucks pass between Dover and Calais a day, transporting everything from perishable food to medicines and industrial goods needed to keep factories running.

In the EU’s single market, trucks drive smoothly through border checks.

But in a “no deal” Brexit, even a few minutes delay at customs for each truck would likely see vehicles backed up at ports and queued up on feeder roads both sides of the Channel.

The government, which has warned of up to six months of disruption under a “no deal” scenario, has been seeking to secure space on RORO ships to serve different ports on mainland Europe and Britain, according to the industry sources, who declined to be named citing confidentiality agreements.

They said the government had made approaches in recent weeks to companies that included Britain’s P& O, Denmark’s DFDS and Sweden’s Stena.

Those three firms already operate services to British ports, data showed.

The companies declined to comment.

When asked about the matter, the transport ministry said “as a responsible government we continue to prepare for a range of potential outcomes to ensure that trade continues to move as freely as possible”.

A spokesman for British Prime Minister Theresa May said ministers had discussed ensuring ships set aside space to keep medical supplies flowing but said this was “not quite the same as chartering ships.” Britain requisitioned and chartered merchant ships during the 1982 war over the Falkland Islands with Argentina.

But shipping experts say Britain’s fleet of UK-flagged vessels is now smaller and the expansion of global trade also means they may be too far away to be called in at short notice.

P& O said on Tuesday it was reviewing its UK- registered fleet and was already re-flagging two vessels to keep EU tax arrangements ahead of Brexit.

Bob Sanguinetti, chief executive of Britain’s Chamber of Shipping trade association which represents 200 shipping companies, said vessels might not be available to charter or might not be able to serve different terminals.

“Many ships are specialised, they are often adapted for individual routes and cannot necessarily just be sent to different ports on a whim,” he said.

One of the industry sources said the government had explored using four RORO vessels controlled by the defence ministry.

Foreland Shipping, which owns and operates the four Britainflagged RORO vessels, said the ships were employed on other operations “and will remain so for the foreseeable future”.

The defence ministry said it “routinely works with other government departments on planning for a range of contingency scenarios”. — Reuters

The International Monetary Fund executive board gave final approval to a new loan package for Ukraine and released US$ 1.4 billion for immediate use.

The IMF had agreed on the US$ 4 billion, 14-month loan in mid- October but the board was waiting for the government to follow through with a series of economic policies before approving the aid to the war-torn nation, including raising gas and heating rates.

Another key step was approval of the 2019 budget late last month with a deficit of about 2.3 per cent of GDP.

“The Ukrainian authorities have successfully restored macro- economic stability and growth, with support from the international community,” IMF number two David Lipton said in a statement.

“The authorities have taken important steps” to mitigate risks to the programme, he said, but stressed that the “full and timely implementation of the programme will be critical for its success in light of the difficult challenges.”

Ukraine Prime Minister Volodymyr Groysman sought the additional financing from the Washington-based lender to help his crisis-hit nation.

But the gas price hike was a sensitive issue for the cashstrapped country as its pro-Western leadership faces presidential and parliamentary elections in 2019.

The new 14-month stand-by loan deal replaced the previous fouryear financial aid package agreed in March 2015.

The remainder of the funds will be released in stages after semi- annual reviews of the government’s performance.

The IMF has stressed the need for continuing to protect lowincome households.

But it also has set key priorities, including continuing to reduce public debt and inflation, shoring up the banking sector, and improving tax administration and privatisation.

“It will be important to resist pressures to increase spending or lower taxes,” Lipton said.

And progress on anti-corruption reforms and privatization “will help attract investment and improve the business climate more broadly.”

The IMF expects Ukraine’s economic growth to slow to 2.7 per cent next year from the projected 3.3 per cent this year, while inflation should fall below 11 per cent in 2019 from nearly 12 per cent this year.

In 2014, Moscow annexed the Crimean peninsula from Ukraine.

That move was followed by a deadly conflict in eastern Ukraine between government forces and Russian-backed separatists.

Ukraine and its Western allies have accused Russia of funnelling troops and arms across the border but Moscow has denied the claims despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary. — AFP