Oil rises after US, Russia agree to talks
SEOUL: Oil recovered ground yesterday after US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin agreed to talks to stabilise energy markets, with benchmarks climbing off 18-year lows hit as the coronavirus outbreak cut fuel demand worldwide.
Brent crude was up by 30 US cents, or 1.3%, at US$23.06 a barrel, after closing on Monday at US$22.76, its lowest finish since November 2002.
US crude was up by US$1.21, or 6.0%, at US$21.30 a barrel, after settling in the earlier session at US$20.09, lowest since February 2002.
Oil markets have faced a double whammy from the coronavirus outbreak and a price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia after Opec and other producers failed to agree on deeper cuts to support oil prices in early March.
Trump and Putin agreed during a phone call to have their top energy officials discuss stabilising oil markets, the Kremlin said on Monday.
“Oil prices are clawing back from a near 18-year low on hopes that oversupply concerns may finally see some relief,” said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at broker OANDA. “Much of the focus has fallen on a key call between the Presidents of the United States and Russia.”
With a plunge in prices that has knocked around 60% off oil this year, a commissioner with the Texas state energy regulator renewed his call for restrictions on crude production because of the national supply glut.
In a sign of how well the market is supplied, the front-month Brent futures contract for May is currently at a discount of US$13.95 per barrel to the November contract , the widest contango spread ever seen.
A contango market implies traders expect oil to be higher in the future, prompting them to store oil for later sales.
Saudi Arabia, de facto leader of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec), planned to boost its oil exports to 10.6 million barrels per day (bpd) from May on lower domestic consumption, a Saudi energy ministry official said.
Global oil refiners, meanwhile, have cut their throughput because of the slump in demand for transportation fuel, with European refineries slashing output by at least 1.3 million bpd, sources told Reuters.
UBS estimated global oil demand to fall by 1.2 million bpd, or 1.2%, over the whole of 2020, weighed down by the coronavirus pandemic, the Swiss bank said in a note.
Others, including the chief economist for global commodities trader Trafigura, have said that oil demand could fall as much as 30% from the end of last year over coming weeks.