Dissolution before April
Mark these dates – March 28, 29 and 30. That’s when Parliament will be dissolved. The Bill on the new electoral boundaries will be tabled by next week, even as early as Monday. The Bill will be passed before April, which will see a flood of campaigning. A
The dates on which Parliament will be dissolved are now almost certain. Dissolution will happen on March 28, 29 or 30, looking at the way the cards are falling. The guessing game is as good as over.
The report on the new electoral boundaries is expected to be given to all Members of Parliament by next week, and may be tabled as early as Monday.
A simple majority of 111 votes – with the number of lawmakers currently at 220 – is needed to have the proposal passed.
Of the 222 MPs, Jelebu MP Datuk Zainudin Ismail and Paya Besar MP Datuk Abdul Manan Ismail have passed away. Zainudin died in December while Abdul Manan died last month.
The fact that the motion need not go through the Dewan Negara – which shortens the time to enforce the redelineation – is also another reason why political pundits are targeting the end of March.
The redelineation of parliamentary and state constituencies will be enforced immediately once it receives royal assent and the Yang di-Pertuan Agong’s signature.
To give a clear picture – and a hint of when the polls are likely to take place – Deputy Prime Minister Datuk Seri Dr Ahmad Zahid Hamidi spoke on the sequence of events leading up to the dissolution.
He informed top editors on Tuesday that once lawmakers have concluded debate on the motion of thanks on the Royal Address, ministers would take their turns to wind up.
“After this, Bills will be tabled. Then, we will table the motion on the proposed redelineation. After it has been debated and passed, it will be gazetted upon receiving royal assent,” he said.
What follows this would be the dissolution of Parliament. The Election Commission will then set the dates for nomination and polling, explained Dr Ahmad Zahid.
Sources say that Standing Order 15 (1), which states that government business should have precedence over other matters, can be used to expedite the process.
“The Government can decide to cut short the ministerial wind- ing-up to only two days instead of the scheduled four days,” said a source.
“There is also the Supplementary Supply Bill that needs to be tabled and debated next week.
“The Government can decide to just table the motion on the redelineation first and then set aside the following week for debates.”
The passing of the redelineation will clear the way for the dissolution, with the expected dates to be between March 28 and 30.
Political observers are also looking at end March for Parliament to be dissolved, with April 7 as the date for Barisan Nasional to unveil its manifesto as a “giveaway”.
While a manifesto can be launched anytime, it has been a practice by Barisan to do so after the dissolution. During GE13 in 2013, Barisan launched its election pledges on April 6 – three days after the Dewan Rakyat was dissolved.
Pakatan Harapan launched its manifesto on March 8 while PAS will present its own on Sunday.
Political analyst Prof Datuk Abdul Halim Sidek of Universiti Malaysia Kelantan said the end of March would be the right time to dissolve the Dewan Rakyat since the Election Commission needs 30 days to hold an election.
“If it is the end of March, by the time polling takes place it will be early May. Whatever it is, the general election needs to be over by Midmay – before Muslims begin their fasting in the month of Ramadan,” he said.