The Star Malaysia

‘US$339bil can be saved and 94,000 deaths avoided with climate policies’

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BEIJING: China could avoid nearly 94,000 premature deaths and save a whopping US$339bil (RM1.3 trillion) in health costs over the next 12 years by honouring its carbon reduction commitment­s under the Paris climate accord, a study showed.

The country has pledged to reach peak carbon dioxide emissions by 2030 at the latest and to cut carbon emissions per unit of economic output (GDP) by 60-65% compared to 2005 levels.

The study by the Massachuse­tts Institute of Technology published in the journal Nature Climate Change said China would have to slash CO2 emissions by about 4% each year to save nearly 94,000 lives through cleaner air in that timespan.

Researcher­s estimated that health-related savings could be about four times what it would cost Beijing to meet its climate goals.

“The country could actually come out net positive, just based on the health co-benefits associated with air quality improvemen­ts, relative to the cost of a climate policy,” said co-author Noelle Eckley Selin, an associate professor at MIT.

China is the world’s biggest polluter and has faced an uphill battle transition­ing from coal, which is used to generate roughly three-quarters of its power, according to the Internatio­nal Energy Agency.

The country’s coal consumptio­n last year rose for the first time since 2013, according to the National Bureau of Statistics, despite a drive to promote less-polluting energy sources.

China announced plans in December for a national carbon market, which is likely to become the world’s largest exchange for emissions credits.

The move is expected to slowly push utility companies and manufactur­ers to embrace clean fuel.

China is considered a potential leader in the fight against climate change after the US retreated from the Paris accord.

This calls for capping a global

2° temperatur­e rise at well below C,

1.5° and at C if possible, compared with pre-industrial levels. — AFP

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