US set on carving up Syria
THE DANGER of a shooting war between the US and Russia grows daily. A US F-18 warplane shot down a Syrian Air Force SU-22 ground attack aircraft over eastern Syria on June 18. This was a reckless provocation clearly authorised by Washington. Russia, Syria’s ally, threatened to aim its S-300 missiles at US warplanes over Syria.
Another US warplane shot down an Iranian drone over southeastern Syria on June 20 as US forces and mercenaries closed in on a worthless piece of ground on the SyrianIraq border. Russia is rushing 10 more warships to the Mediterranean, though most are obsolescent or small.
The US Navy is challenging the Iranians in the Gulf. US technicians and crews are keeping Saudi warplanes bombing Yemen, where half the population faces starvation. Just across the Red Sea, US warplanes and special forces are attacking the Somalia nationalist resistance movement, Shebab. At least 4,000 more US troops are headed for Afghanistan’s stalemated war.
US Marines are attacking IS positions near Mosul, al-Tanf and Raqaa and adding long-ranged HIMARS artillery rockets. American forces are using white phosphorus, a hideous chemical weapon, against IS defenders. Iran may send more “volunteer” troops into Syria and Iraq as US warplanes probe Iran’s airspace. Turkey is reportedly moving against US-backed Kurds in Syria. Some Middle East experts believe the US may be set on partitioning Syria.
A US fighter buzzed a Russian aircraft over the Baltic carrying Russian defence minister Sergei Shogu on June 21 until chased away by Russian fighters. Moscow is under growing pressure to retaliate against the US though President Vladimir Putin insists he wants no military confrontation with Washington.
Adding to these tensions, a palace coup in Saudi Arabia just sidelined the kingdom’s iron-handed number two, former crown prince and interior minister Mohammed bin Nayef and replaced him by 31-year-old Prince Mohammed bin Salman (pix), the favourite son of King Salman. The king is said to be seriously ill. But the 15,000-member Saudi family is not pleased by the defenestration of heir apparent Nayef.
Mohammed was the author of Saudi Arabia’s stalemated war in Yemen, which is burning through the kingdom’s cash reserves at a time when oil prices are plunging and has killed large numbers of civilians. He is behind the SaudiEgyptian-Israeli tacit alliance.
It was Mohammed who came up with the plan to run US shale producers out of business by launching an oil price war. It has backfired badly. The Saudis even had to borrow US$9 billion to keep the kingdom running.
Arab critics assert that the young prince is rash and inexperienced. The Trump administration likes Mohammed a lot. He is about the same age as Trump’s favourite, son-in-law, Jared Kushner, who was in Israel last week supposedly crafting a final peace settlement between Jews and Arabs after a century of conflict. What a cruel joke this is.
Kushner has been meeting Israel’s wily Prime Minister Netanyahu, who has no intention of ever allowing a Palestinian state, and with over-the-hill Palestinian leader, Mahmoud Abbas, who is 82. Abbas is widely reviled as a US/Israel puppet who was made PLO leader after the untimely death of Yasser Arafat. The shady Mohammed Dahlan, rumoured to be CIA’s Palestinian “asset”, waits in the wings to replace the doddering Abbas.
The authentic Palestinian government, Hamas, is locked up in Gaza and isolated by a joint Israeli-Saudi-Egyptian campaign. Back in Washington, most of Trump’s senior advisers are ardent supporters of Israel. So with whom will young Kushner, himself an orthodox Jew, negotiate? As in decades past, Washington’s supporters of Israel’s moderates will negotiate with Israel’s right. Is it any wonder there is no Middle East peace?
The new Saudi crown prince proclaims he will modernise the kingdom, diversify away from its oil and gas economy, and make himself leader of the Arab world. Those who do not readily agree, like little Qatar, will be squashed like bugs.
It’s a tall order. But we wish Mohammed well because Saudi Arabia, the world’s most ultraconservative nation, very badly needs modernisation.
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