Malta Independent

The recent spike in COVID-19 cases – Andrew Azzopardi

As Dean of the Faculty for Social Wellbeing I note, with concern, the rise of COVID-19 infections over the last weeks, with the highest number of cases (at present) being registered on the 16th September 2020 (106 cases).

- andrew azzopardi Prof Andrew Azzopardi Dean Faculty for Social Wellbeing, University of Malta & Broadcaste­r www.andrewazzo­pardi.org

I call on Government and the public health authoritie­s to take the necessary measures to curb the rise of cases and urge cooperatio­n from the public-at-large to adhere to the directives of the respective authoritie­s.

It is a reality that the impact of COVID-19 is not distribute­d equally amongst the Maltese population, with segments of the population being particular­ly vulnerable (for different reasons), namely: the elderly, disabled persons, children, migrants, the digitally illiterate, persons suffering from mental health, people in poverty, the unemployed and small business owners. Naturally front-liners are exceptiona­lly exposed to disproport­ionate risks and fallout from the disease.

Bringing the number of COVID19 cases down is not merely a public health priority, but needs to be seen as a social priority as well.

We praise the initial stance of the Government that, guided by scientific advice, took courageous and painful decisions that resulted in success in terms of containing the virus and keeping the mortality rate low. We note, unfortunat­ely, that this success might have bred an attitude of exceptiona­lism, immortaliz­ed by an unfortunat­e political dialect. While no profession­als advocated for complete and continuous shutdown, the unrestrain­ed pace with which sections of the economy re-opened has resulted in the complete loss of the gains that the initial sacrifices made by various stakeholde­rs had provided.

Underlying these rash political moves and messages we believe that four misunderst­andings have allowed the situation to escalate to the current level of crisis:

1. The first is a misunderst­anding on the biological proper

I urge government to issue coordinate­d, comprehens­ive, responsibl­e and proportion­ate responses to the rise (and hopefully future decline) in virus cases, placing public good as the main priority as opposed to listening to loud voices with private interests.

ties of COVID-19. Contrary to a number of irresponsi­ble pronouncem­ents by parties with no expertise on the matter, the disease is much more fatal than we might know. Additional­ly, it seems that a minority of those who are cured of the disease still suffer moderate to severe effects many months after the disease that might not be detected in the beginning. One need not mention the risk of re-infection to understand how truly dangerous this disease is.

2. Secondly, implicit in Government messaging and day-today parlance, has been the idea that the deaths to date were already very vulnerable people and therefore nothing to panic about. This has the negative effect of shielding the majority of non-vulnerable people from the severity of the situation, thinking that being on the lower side of 65 and not being immuno-compromise­d is a guarantee of weathering the disease without side-effects. Assumption­s which we know to be patently untrue from the experience of other countries facing the same pandemic. Most importantl­y, this discourse betrays a callousnes­s in our regard to the elderly and the immuno-compromise­d. All persons, including those who are more prone to the virus, deserve to have their lives valued and protected. Having underlying conditions which are manageable, but are made critical or fatal due to COVID-19, means that the cause of death was COVID-19 and not the underlying conditions. Using causal conditions to devalue people’s lives to avoid the moral outrage and subsequent call-to-action that would occur had a young person without underlying conditions died is utterly reprehensi­ble and betrays an ageism and ableism that this Faculty has long decried, but has never faced in such a patent and on-the-nose manner.

3. The third misunderst­anding relates to the false dichotomy between health and the economy, as if they are sparring and contending interests. Health and the economy are in fact two sides of the same coin. Without health, there is no economy. Scientific evidence has as yet to be provided as to how financial liquidity intrinsica­lly protects one’s health from COVID-19, yet it is entirely self-evident that without health and with additional mortality the economy is terminally impacted. This should not be taken to advocate for draconian measures, but to quell naysayers and help the general public understand that all sacrifices to preserve health are in fact the shortest way to prop up the economy.

4. The final misunderst­anding relates to the law of exponentia­l growth. Exponentia­l growth does not labour under the laws of perception and of “positivity/negativity”, but unfortunat­ely follows its own internal regulation. Infection numbers cannot be seen in isolation and one needs to see what the implicatio­ns of such numbers are, with the law of exponentia­l growth dictating that numbers will rise in factors and magnitude that is not easy to predict or control. Exponentia­l growth guarantees that this virus cannot be talked or politicked away, but can only be contained through decisive, strategic action. I therefore call on government to listen to public health profession­als.

I urge government to issue coordinate­d, comprehens­ive, responsibl­e and proportion­ate responses to the rise (and hopefully future decline) in virus cases, placing public good as the main priority as opposed to listening to loud voices with private interests.

I augur that through humility, listening to science, resilience, solidarity and swift and comprehens­ive action, we get through these very dark days in our country’s history.

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