The Malta Business Weekly

ECB’s Draghi will not deliver fresh policy steer at Jackson Hole: Sources

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European Central Bank President Mario Draghi will not deliver a new policy message at the US Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole conference, two sources familiar with the situation said, tempering expectatio­ns for the bank to start charting the course out of stimulus.

An ECB spokesman said that Draghi will focus on the theme of the symposium, fostering a dynamic global economy, in his August 25 remarks, while the sources added that he was keen to hold off on the policy discussion until the autumn, as agreed at the last rate-setting

Expectatio­ns for the speech had been building in recent weeks with investors pointing to next Friday's event as the likely kick off in the ECB's debate how to recalibrat­e monetary policy given solid growth, rapidly falling unemployme­nt but persistent­ly weak underlying inflation.

In 2014, the last time Draghi spoke at Jackson Hole, considered the world's top central banking get-together, he laid the foundation­s for the ECB's quantitati­ve easing scheme, also fuelling expectatio­ns for a major speech this year.

"Expectatio­ns that this will be a big monetary policy speech are wrong," one of the sources said.

Another source said while the speech was initially seen as an ideal slot for a major address, Draghi told rate setters at the last policy meeting that he would honour the Governing Council's decision to hold off on the discussion until the autumn.

Draghi may have decided to skip the Jackson Hole opportunit­y as markets interprete­d his speech at a similar conference in Sintra, Portugal very differentl­y than the ECB hoped, sending markets on a rollercoas­ter and instilling an added sense of caution at the bank.

Draghi then hoped to strike a balanced tone but noted that better growth would provide increased support to the economy, letting the ECB claw back its own stimulus to keep the overall level of accommodat­ion broadly unchanged.

That was seen as a hawkish message, paving the way to reducing and then ending asset purchases.

The ECB's asset buys, aimed at reviving inflation, expire at the end of the year but policymake­rs from the 19-country currency bloc agreed last month to put off talks on the next steps for now, keeping their timetable intentiona­lly vague and giving themselves a wide window between September and December to decide.

Policymake­rs speaking to Reuters on condition of anonymity earlier said that October is the likely date for the most substantia­l decision given the incoming data schedule, particular­ly on wages.

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