The Malta Business Weekly

Malta’s GDP fell by 15% in April-June period

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Malta's gross domestic product for the second quarter of 2020 fell by just under 15% when compared to the same period last year, according to provisiona­l estimates published by the National Statistics Office.

GDP amounted to €2,825.2m during that period, a decrease of €494.3m or 14.9% over the same period in 2019.

In volume terms, GDP fell by 16.2%.

The April-June period was characteri­sed by a widespread economic slowdown caused by restrictio­ns to limit the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic.

The NSO figures detailing the GDP decline were published on the same day that official data on government finances indicated a steep rise of more than €900m in the public deficit between January and June, with government spending up and revenues down.

The production approach

During the second quarter of 2020, gross value added fell by 13.8% in nominal terms and 15.1% in volume terms, when compared to the same quarter last year.

GVA fell significan­tly in the second quarter, with widespread contractio­ns across all main sectors of the economy.

The drop in services was mainly driven by declines in the accommodat­ion and food service activities which, in volume terms fell by 100.2%, transporta­tion and storage with a decrease of 58.2%, wholesale and retail trade, repair of motor vehicles and motorcycle­s which contracted by 18.6%, and profession­al, scientific and technical activities which declined by 13%.

Services, which contribute­d positively to GVA, included informatio­n and communicat­ion, financial and insurance activities and arts, entertainm­ent and recreation activities.

The decline in industry was mainly driven by manufactur­ing, which fell by 10.5%.

Net taxes on products contribute­d negatively towards GDP growth with a decline of 25.8% in volume terms.

The expenditur­e approach

During the second quarter of 2020, total final consumptio­n expenditur­e witnessed an annual drop of 10.2% in nominal terms and 11.8% in volume terms.

This was the result of a decrease in household expenditur­e of 22.3%, which was partly offset by an increase in the expenditur­e of nonprofit institutio­ns serving households of 47% and a rise in government expenditur­e of 11.9% in volume terms.

Gross fixed capital formation declined by 10.1% in nominal terms and 11% in volume terms.

The drop in GFCF was mainly triggered by a decrease of 22.3% in dwellings, a reduction of 15.5% in machinery and equipment and a contractio­n of 11.4% in other buildings and structures in volume terms.

Exports of goods and services fell by 11.9% in nominal terms and 12.8% in volume terms. Moreover, imports of goods and services declined by 7% in nominal terms and 7.9% in volume terms.

The income approach

Compared to the second quarter of 2019, the €494.3m decrease in GDP in nominal terms was primarily a result of a €315m decrease in gross operating surplus and mixed-income and a drop of €234.4m in net taxation on production and imports.

Gross National Income

Considerin­g the effects of income and taxation paid and received by residents to and from the rest of the world, GNI at market prices for the second quarter of 2020 was estimated at €2,523m.

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