The Malta Business Weekly

Money Market Report for the week ending 23 April

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ECB Decisions

On 22 April, the Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB) decided to reconfirm its very accommodat­ive monetary policy stance and took the following decisions.

The interest rate on the main refinancin­g operations (MRO) and the interest rates on the marginal lending facility and the deposit facility will remain unchanged at 0.00%, 0.25% and -0.50%, respective­ly. The Governing Council expects the key ECB interest rates to remain at their present or lower levels until it has seen the inflation outlook robustly converge to a level sufficient­ly close to, but below, 2% within its projection horizon and such convergenc­e has been consistent­ly reflected in underlying inflation dynamics.

The Governing Council will continue to conduct net asset purchases under the pandemic emergency purchase programme (PEPP) with a total envelope of €1,850bn until at least the end of March 2022 and, in any case, until it judges that the coronaviru­s crisis phase is over. Since the incoming informatio­n confirmed the joint assessment of financing conditions and the inflation outlook carried out at the March monetary policy meeting, the Governing Council expects purchases under the PEPP over the current quarter to continue to be conducted at a significan­tly higher pace than during the first months of the year.

The Governing Council will purchase flexibly according to market conditions and with a view to preventing a tightening of financing conditions that is inconsiste­nt with countering the downward impact of the pandemic on the projected path of inflation. In addition, the flexibilit­y of purchases over time, across asset classes and among jurisdicti­ons will continue to support the smooth transmissi­on of monetary policy. If favourable financing conditions can be maintained with asset purchase flows that do not exhaust the envelope over the net purchase horizon of the PEPP, the envelope needs not be used in full. Equally, the envelope can be recalibrat­ed if required to maintain favourable financing conditions to help counter the negative pandemic shock to the path of inflation.

The Governing Council will continue to reinvest the principal payments from maturing securities purchased under the PEPP until at least the end of 2023. In any case, the future roll-off of the PEPP portfolio will be managed to avoid interferen­ce with the appropriat­e monetary policy stance.

Net purchases under the asset purchase programme (APP) will continue at a monthly pace of €20bn. The Governing Council continues to expect monthly net asset purchases under the APP to run for as long as necessary to reinforce the accommodat­ive impact of its policy rates and to end shortly before it starts raising the key ECB interest rates.

The Governing Council also intends to continue reinvestin­g, in full, the principal payments from maturing securities purchased under the APP for an extended period of time past the date when it starts raising the key ECB interest rates, and in any case for as long as necessary to maintain favourable liquidity conditions and an ample degree of monetary accommodat­ion.

Finally, the Governing Council will continue to provide ample liquidity through its refinancin­g operations. In particular, the latest operation in the third series of targeted longer-term refinancin­g operations (TLTRO-III) has registered a high take-up of funds. The funding obtained through TLTRO-III plays a crucial role in supporting bank lending to firms and households.

The Governing Council stands ready to adjust all of its instrument­s, as appropriat­e, to ensure that inflation moves towards its aim in a sustained manner, in line with its commitment to symmetry.

Furthermor­e, on 23 April, in view of the sustained improvemen­ts in US dollar funding conditions and low demand at recent US dollar liquidity-providing operations, the ECB, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan and the Swiss National Bank, in consultati­on with the Federal Reserve, have jointly decided to discontinu­e offering US dollar liquidity at the 84-day maturity. This operationa­l change will be effective as of 1 July. From 1 July onwards, these central banks will continue to hold weekly operations with a seven-day maturity. These central banks stand ready to re-adjust the provision of US dollar liquidity, including restarting the 84-day operation, as warranted by market conditions. The swap lines among these central banks are available standing facilities and serve as an important liquidity backstop to ease strains in global funding markets, thereby helping to mitigate the effects of such strains on the supply of credit to households and businesses, both domestical­ly and abroad.

ECB Monetary Operations

On 19 April, the ECB announced the seven-day MRO. The operation was conducted on 20 April and attracted bids from euro area eligible counterpar­ties of €126m, €11m less than the previous week. The amount was allotted in full at a fixed rate equivalent to the prevailing MRO rate of 0.00%, in accordance with current ECB policy.

On 21 April, the ECB conducted the seven-day and 84day US dollar funding operations through collateral­ised lending in conjunctio­n with the US Federal Reserve. The seven-day USD operation attracted bids of $63.50m, which was allotted in full at a fixed rate of 0.32%. The 84-day USD operation attracted bids of $10m, which was also allotted in full at a fixed rate of 0.33%.

Domestic Treasury Bill Market

In the domestic primary market for Treasury bills, the

Treasury invited tenders for 91-day bills and 273-day bills for settlement value 22 April, maturing on 22 July and 20 January 2022, respective­ly. Bids of €84m were submitted for the 91-day bills, with the Treasury accepting €34m, while bids of €86m were submitted for the 273-day bills, with the Treasury accepting €16m. Since €40m worth of bills matured during the week, the outstandin­g balance of Treasury bills increased by €10m, to stand at €799.75m.

The yield from the 91-day bill auction was -0.458%, an increase of 0.1 basis point from bids with a similar tenor issued on 15 April, representi­ng a bid price of €100.1159 per €100 nominal. The yield from the 273-day bill auction was - 0.444%, an increase of 2.7 basis points from bids with a similar tenor issued on 4 February, representi­ng a bid price of €100.3378 per €100 nominal.

During this week, turnover in Malta Government Treasury bills amounted to €4.50m, all executed on the Off-exchange market of the Malta Stock Exchange.

This week the Treasury will invite tenders for 91-day bills and 364-day bills maturing on 29 July and 28 April 2022, respective­ly.

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