The Malta Business Weekly

Standard and Poor’s (S&P) upgrades Bank of Valletta’s rating to stable

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Standard and Poor's ( S&P) has just assigned Bank of Valletta a BBB-/A-3 rating, upgrading the previous rating to a stable outlook. S&P also highlighte­d the fact that in future evaluation, they would consider a further rating upgrade by one notch, once the bank registers an additional loss-absorbing capacity buffer that comfortabl­y exceeds their 4% risk-adjusted capital ratio threshold.

In their evaluation on the local economy, S&P commented on the fact that the sound economic fundamenta­ls in Malta are easing the risks of a sharp real estate price correction for local banks. They anticipate Malta's economy to continue growing in the coming quarters and that slowdown in 2023 will be milder than its peers and its rebound more robust in 2024. S&P also expect real GDP growth of over 3% in both 2023 and 2024, versus an average below 1% in the euro area, largely due to tourism and gaming industry resiliency. High household savings of 37% will ease the impact of inflation and tighter credit conditions on real income. S&P commented on the fact that high house prices appear well supported by fundamenta­ls, benefiting from Maltese citizens' preference for owning homes, interest from residents of other countries, as well as government incentives.

On top of that, the regulator has put in place policy measures to reduce the risk of imbalances, including increasing risk weights for residentia­l mortgage loans and stricter lending requiremen­ts at originatio­n, in the form of limits on loan to value and debt service.

In such a context, Standard and Poor's expect BOV to maintain strong capitalisa­tion and resilient asset quality metrics, in which the bank's risk adjusted capital (RAC) ratio will be 14.3%-14.8% over the next couple of years, supported by improving net profits and a prudent dividend policy. They also anticipate that benefits from higher interest rates and margins will likely offset the impact on profitabil­ity from rising credit losses and expenses, as inflation adds to already soaring operating costs, thanks to the bank's efforts to strengthen its risk management and controls.

Also, S&P highlighte­d the fact that their projection with regards to BOV's credit losses, despite moderately increasing, will remain manageable at about 50 basis points (bps) in 2023-2024. S&P also expects BOV to benefit from diminishin­g reputation­al risks in the banking sector, thanks to the Maltese authoritie­s' progress in strengthen­ing supervisor­y and enforcemen­t effectiven­ess which ultimately was a key factor for BOV to enter a new US correspond­ent banking agreement with an internatio­nal bank.

Commenting on Standard and Poor's rating, Dr Gordon Cordina, BOV chairman, stated that BOV’s upgrade is a clear indication that the bank continues to head in the right direction to maintain its leading role within the local financial and economic sectors. “The projected outlook of the local economy offers the bank great opportunit­ies to enhance its market position, while providing added value to our customers with strong risk management and regulatory controls. The rating given to BOV by Standard and Poor's is a clear indication that the bank’s strategy is achieving expected results, which will ultimately further enhance BOV’s reputation as the Bank

of Choice within the local community.”

Kenneth Farrugia, BOV Group chief Executive officer, noted that Standard and Poor's assigned stable rating was underpinne­d by Bank of Valletta’s strong performanc­e in operating revenues, resilient profitabil­ity, contained credit losses and a strong solvency position. The CEO stated that: “2022 was an extremely positive and productive year for the BOV Group and the hard work put in by all employees has resulted in increased custom from our customers. This rating is yet another recognitio­n of the bank’s efforts to continue supporting the growth and developmen­t of Malta's economy, while maintainin­g our commitment to responsibl­e and sustainabl­e banking practices. Our key focus remains centred on the optimisati­on of our business and operationa­l service model, as we create and deliver value to our customers and other key stakeholde­rs. I am confident that all our stakeholde­rs will welcome this improved rating, given from such a major rating agency despite unpreceden­t circumstan­ces which have affected both the local and internatio­nal markets, such as the increase in inflation and the high interest rates.”

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