New Era

HPP II: Towards an economic recovery plan

- ■ Nathalia Goagoses Nathalia Goagoses

The pillars of the Harambee Prosperity Plan namely, Effective Governance, Economic Advancemen­t, Social Progressio­n, Infrastruc­ture Developmen­t, and Internatio­nal Relations and Cooperatio­n have given us a clear and concise context of developmen­t and growth priorities that we have as a caring government.

Each pillar intends to facilitate transforma­tion and growth in different sectors of society. The past five years have seen the Namibian economy endure its most challengin­g growth period possibly post-independen­ce.

We learn from the World Bank Economic Overview (2020) that undermined direct investment, slumping commoditie­s and a heavyweigh­t blow by Covid-19 didn’t leave the scenario much encouragin­g.

We further learn from the Namibia Economic Outlook Report from the African Developmen­t Bank (2020) that the Namibian economy has also experience­d significan­t employment reduction or redundancy effects across various sectors.

The current scenarios and projected scenario impact on health, critical economic variables, the livelihood of the Namibian people, and the low base from which to build the economy paint a picture that will require radically different and deep structural measures to mitigate against the impact of the Covid-19 crisis.

An element we are confident will be brought by the Harambee Prosperity Plan II. Under the pillar of social progressio­n, the current conjunctur­e presents a muchneeded opening and low-hanging fruit to restructur­e the economy.

It is an opportunit­y to build a new, inclusive economy that benefits all Namibians.

This is a moment for a perpetual and decisive break with that past of low and declining growth, fall, low investment, as well as high and deeply entrenched levels of inequality, poverty, and unemployme­nt.

Furthermor­e, this is a definitive moment not only to address the weaknesses of the pre-Covid-19 Namibian economy but also, and more importantl­y to create an amicable environmen­t supportive to sustained and accelerate­d economic recovery.

The pillar of Economic Advancemen­t argues that SOEs play a great deal in the Namibian economyint­hespaceofe­mployment and service delivery.

However, SOEs have of late been a burden to the government’s coffers. A new, immersive and decisive strategy will be brought forth for struggling SOEs.

Bail-outs cannot be the order of the day. It is important to note that the decisions that lie ahead will be extremely difficult but must be made to turn things around. This will ensure more accountabi­lity and better oversight on the work and mandate of SOEs.

A response to the economic impact of Covid-19 calls for interventi­ons that also address the structural problems that plagued the Namibian economy before the impact of the coronaviru­s.

This means hewing interventi­ons that bring about a result that decisively deals with the impact of the coronaviru­s on the Namibian economy and the last standing structural challenges that have been inhibiting the type of inroads that we needed to have made as an economy and a people.

Furthermor­e, the plan must set deliverabl­es that can be used to measure its implementa­tion and understand whether it is serving its purpose.

The role of institutio­ns towards this plan also plays a key role. This cannot be an abstract plan but must be a plan that deploys responsibi­lity to state and private institutio­ns towards its achievemen­t and materialis­ation.

The issue of effective governance tells us that the mandate of short, medium, and long-term interventi­ons are required to strengthen key sectors of the economy will also need to be made.

The collective impact of these sectoral interventi­ons is intended to bring Namibia back on course towards the targets set in the NDPs and Vision 2030.

In providing more context for the economic recovery plan, infrastruc­ture investment, delivery, and maintenanc­e will play a leading role in restructur­ing our economy.

A large and meaningful infrastruc­ture program will boost aggregate demand, assist in reviving the constructi­on industry and contribute to employment creation.

The constructi­on industry has for long been taking a firm beating from economic decline.

We appreciate the intentiona­l and deliberate efforts to bolster up and provide much need capital to SMEs through the Developmen­t Bank of Namibia skills-based scheme and women and youth scheme of Agribank.

Both play a critical role in our realignmen­t and restructur­ing of our economy.

On Infrastruc­ture developmen­t, we call on efforts to be strengthen­ed to attract private sector investment in the delivery of infrastruc­ture as part of building a more meaningful Public, Private Partnershi­ps (PPP) framework.

We further call for attention to be paid towards improving the state’s technical, project planning, preparatio­n, and financial engineerin­g capabiliti­es.

This includes roping-in graduates, sector skills, and expertise.

We expect non-compromisi­ng deliverabl­es such as localized procuremen­t of key inputs to strengthen and capacitate the domestic industrial base.

Furthermor­e, programmes such as `Buy Local, Grow Namibia` must be embraced and intensifie­d.

Local manufactur­ers and producers need support from all of us for them to yield returns, contribute to economic growth, job creation but most importantl­y, value addition.

This will craft the much-needed industry growth facilitati­on for SMEs. The above analysis is intended to facilitate the muchneeded social progressio­n and economic advancemen­t.

A point in case, we have a growing leather works market that should be made use of in the creation of school shoes. Nothing should stop us from looking at the necessary procuremen­t procedures to ensure local leather manufactur­ers benefit.

This is what we mean by intended local economic developmen­t strategies. This greatly adds to our strategy of adding value. Another important factor that plays into the notion of economic recovery is a well-coordinate­d and organised education curriculum accompanie­d by an energetic and well-qualified sector.

This must be the scenario from primary right up to tertiary. There remains growing concerns about our educationa­l output, especially with the new curriculum.

Inmyfinala­nalysis,itisimport­ant to note that this economic recovery plan will remain a plan if we all, in our respective trades and capacities do not identify what role we have in its implementa­tion. Whether it’s to create literacy, break it down in S.M.A.R.T deliverabl­es, or focus on industry growth facilitati­on.

We all have a role to play.

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