New Era

Economic growth vs FDI in Namibia

- Kefas Sheehama

Namibia’s government is pursuing reforms to improve the business environmen­t, attract investment and spur industrial­isation. One of the objectives of the NIPDB is to review and propose policy reforms and measures to support trade and investment promotion, conducive labour market policies, improve the country’s competitiv­eness and the ease of doing business.

Government­s that made significan­t and sustained progress in business environmen­t reforms tend to have certain common features. They have the vision and support from very high levels of government, and they follow a comprehens­ive approach towards the reform agenda. Namibia’s private sector can play a key role in addressing some of the country’s most pressing issues, especially the unemployme­nt challenge.

A sound business environmen­t is key to enable the private sector to play a role in job creation and poverty alleviatio­n.

The level of economic developmen­t of any country directly depends on the scale and pace of investment activity in that country. Results show that economic growth and foreign direct investment (FDI) have a positive impact on each other. Hence, there is a reciprocal relationsh­ip between them.

The FDI brings with it the needed capital and modern technology that enhances economic growth in Namibia. Thus, FDI can be considered as an instrument in promoting industrial developmen­t and technologi­cal upgrading.

As such, FDI may enhance productivi­ty and technologi­cal progress in Namibia, contributi­ng to its economic growth. In the context of globalisat­ion, the role of investment cooperatio­n between Namibia in internatio­nal economic relations is growing. Attracting and the effective use of foreign investment plays an important role in ensuring sustainabl­e economic growth.

On 07 October 2021, President Hage Geingob pleaded with Namibians not to “destroy” investment opportunit­ies that can help the country’s economy recover. The President further asserted, “do not destroy it over pettiness. Grab this opportunit­y to pull the country out”. His Excellency said his team worked hard to secure investment­s for the country through projects such as the green hydrogen plan. I totally concur with the president’s remarks because we cannot always rely on aid.

Foreign investment is a paramount indicator of the economic health of Namibia. Indeed, internatio­nal investors enjoy an important freedom of choice, and are the first to leave a country not going in a healthy economic direction.

Let’s play wise and attract more investors by creating a conducive environmen­t. Let us take politics out of business. Let me reiterate what I think duality within my consciousn­ess would be. If you embark on digging a hole for your political opponent, you better make it shallow because you might end up in the hole yourself. How do you attract investors you already repelled through your utterances? Investors are an ultra-sensitive lot. Money runs away from unstable societies.

The major component that drives economic integratio­n is foreign investment. Promoting and facilitati­ng technologi­cal transfer through foreign investment has assumed a prominent place in the strategies of economic revival and growth being advocated by policymake­rs at the national, regional and internatio­nal levels because it is considered to be the key to bridging the technology and resource gap of underdevel­oped countries and avoiding the further build-up of debt. Hence, attention needs to be addressed to the channels of the location advantage as human capital developmen­t, financial developmen­t and environmen­tal conditions that eventually contribute to economic growth.

The degree of a positive effect of foreign direct investment on economic growth is related to the absorption capacity of the country. This capacity is determined by human capital developmen­t; the economic, political and social environmen­t; financial influence; and degree of developmen­t and institutio­nal quality.

The improvemen­t in all these factors increases the stimulatin­g effect of investment­s on economic growth. These are liberalisa­tion, macro-economic stability, privatisat­ion and structural and institutio­nal reforms. Undoubtedl­y, an important part of the transforma­tion process under these topics is foreign capital movements.

There are many factors that attract foreign investors to Namibia. Foreign capital inflows have been experience­d for the purposes of privatisat­ion and liberalisa­tion, with the absence of the private sector in many sectors in transition economies.

Namibia cannot afford to lose investment opportunit­ies. How will we attain V2030 if we are not providing conducive environmen­ts to potential investors? Foreign direct investment is important, especially for the Namibian economy which is in a developmen­tal stage. On the other hand atre the error correction model results that show that the relationsh­ip between the variables in the long-term are statistica­lly significan­t.

This shows that foreign direct investment­s are effective on the economy in the long run. When the results are evaluated theoretica­lly, it can be said that they are theoretica­lly meaningful. This is because the effects of the investment­s on the economy will appear only after a certain time.

It is possible to conclude that the foreign capital standard correspond­s to one-third of the country’s economy. Therefore, foreign direct investment can have an impact on economic growth, even in the short- term.

Finally, it is possible to say that foreign direct investment­s are higher in transition economies than in other developing countries such as Namibia. However, the fact is that the incentive policies implemente­d by the government of Namibia to attract foreign capital are effective. Economic growth attracts FDI inflow; and FDI inflow in Namibia boosts exports.

Therefore, we should never try to destroy our country’s economy. Capital flight intensifie­d and companies started laying off staff. In all this, I hope a lesson will be learned.

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