Planning for hard times: How to go about it
Now more than ever, the events and effects of climate change are evident in Namibia. Since the previous drought that hit the country between the 2013 and 2019 seasons, rainfall activities have been erratic, and the occurrence of associated events, such as disease and pest outbreaks, recurrent drought and floods, is common in Namibia.
Therefore, it should be noted that each subsequent rainy season would be unique or may present different conditions that negatively affect agricultural production in the country.
Bearing in mind the above, farmers need to learn from previous seasons for timeous planning and preparedness.
Both livestock and crop farmers are currently worried about the prevailing weather conditions. Some parts of the country received good early rainfall in October, whereas other parts received late rains.
It is worth noting that this is not an attribute of a good rainy season, as it was not well distributed and rangeland productivity in some areas is still not optimal. In addition, there are little or no comfortable signs of relief for the remaining months of the season.
If the remaining months receive rain, it may not have an immediate improvement on rangeland productivity, but it will have a long-term advantage towards soil rehydration or soil moisture content, which will be needed by plants after the dormancy period.
The signs of drought are clear; thus, farmers need to already
develop drought-coping strategies to ensure their animals survive until the next rainy season. In
general, they need to prepare for water scarcity, higher temperatures, poor grazing conditions and associated threats to livestock health.
Drought is characterised by a period of insufficient rainfall (far below average/normal), resulting in dehydrated and unproductive soil conditions.
As for the livestock farmers, this compromises rangeland and livestock productivity, farm income and livelihoods.
During drought, market prices fall drastically due to increasing costs of production and the deteriorating livestock conditions attributed to thirst, hunger and illnesses.
In the previous drought, farmers lost their livestock; hence, they have been restocking their livestock numbers to take advantage of the improved rangeland conditions following better rainfall activities after the drought.
However, the current conditions pose a threat to their restocking efforts, as farmers are now facing heavier financial burdens to maintain their livestock.
Farmers can now look at the most feasible options to withstand or minimise the consequences of drought conditions.
These options include relocating, feeding and selling livestock. When a farmer decides on any or all three options, there are some key considerations to ensure the decision is economical and not counter-productive in the end.
1. Relocating animals
Say a farmer elects to relocate his/ her animals; that farmer must select a location or an area with reliable grazing, water supply, security and access to essential services; for example, feed supplies. Secondly, it is imperative that the farmer selects an appropriate mode of transport, determines the distance and carefully selects the animals that are to be relocated; for example, older, weak, heavily pregnant animals cannot walk long distances.
2. Selling animals
Should a farmer choose to sell his/her animals, that farmer must ensure to select the most vulnerable and poor-performing animals and sell them before their conditions deteriorate.
Secondly, the farmer must select the best possible time and marketplace where prices would be favourable. Lastly, with this option, the farmer must develop a budget to feed the remaining animals and for probable restocking after the drought.
3. Feeding animals
This option will require the farmer to group his/her animals based on their production stages and select suitable feed; for example, feeding regime for lactating cows versus dry cows.
The farmer must determine the number of feeds required, the sources and the costs thereof. Lastly, when selecting this option, the farmer must develop a sustainable farm fodder flow plan; for example, using own production and processing, including other sources before, during and after a drought.
To achieve this, it is advisable for a farmer to acquire a hammer mill to cheaply produce, process and formulate feed rations to rescue or prevent starvation in animals.
Finally, no drought conditions of different years are similar, and there is no standard recipe to cope with drought.
Therefore, every year, a farmer should re-assess the status of his/ her farm enterprise in terms of finances, feeds and ability to survive any drought year.