New Era

Diagnosing electoral violence

- *Maj. Gen. (Rtd) J. B Tjivikua

ELECTIONS are held in nearly all countries in the contempora­ry world, including Namibia. Yet, despite the aim of allowing for peaceful transfer of power, elections are often accompanie­d by substantia­l violence.

The employment of elections to elect leaders ought to provide a non-violent alternativ­e to the use of force or violence, to adjudicate between rival claims to rule and it ought to be a mechanism that allows citizens greater say over how they are governed.

Yet, in practice, these expectatio­ns often fail to conform to reality. Electoral violence is cunningly used to influence the outcome of elections, to delay, disrupt or derail polls, and to protest election results or to suppress protests against the results, and this can undo years of peace-building and developmen­t.

Electoral violence significan­tly hinders the meaningful engagement of people in the electoral processes. Given the substantiv­e relevance of electoral violence as a problem, it is important for us as citizens to have a clear understand­ing of its prevalence, causes, and dynamics, as well as what can be done to prevent it.

Elections are one of the main pillars of democracy. Despite that, election-related violence has significan­tly hindered the meaningful engagement of people in the electoral process. However, elections can trigger violence when fundamenta­l human rights of citizens, such as rights to associatio­n and expression are violated, and when certain segments of society are unable to engage with political processes.

Thus, preventing the eruption of election-related violence, to preserve the integrity of elections and democratic systems is fundamenta­l to a country's long-term peace, stability and prosperity.

Manifestat­ion

The objective of electoral violence is to influence the electoral process, and by extension its outcome. Electoral violence covers a wide range of different manifestat­ions and outcomes, but the concept is unified by its coercive component. Research suggests that harassment and intimidati­on are more common than lethal violence, despite the fact that lethal violence is generally better covered and less subject to underrepor­ting in the media that underlie many of the cross-country sources capturing electoral violence.

However, violence associated with elections can generate a significan­t number of casualties, and form part of an escalator process towards civil war.

Mitigation

Reducing the risk of election-related violence is a complex proceeding that requires building general trust among key players, including media, security services, political parties, civil society and others in crisis prevention programmes.

Therefore, the government must take immediate remedial action to reduce the risks of electoral violence, and enhance people's sense of security and freedom in exercising their right to vote.

During the election cycle, the possibilit­y of violence increases as the stakes of political contestati­on heighten, and when outcomes between candidates and incumbents are viewed in a zero-sum manner.

As such, electoral violence is rarely monocausal. It is indeed a confluence of factors that enables violence before, during or after an election. To prevent and mitigate electoral violence, therefore, government must develop tools and interventi­ons that empower key political actors to embrace non-violent means of contesting politics.

For such efforts to be effective, election programme implemente­rs and political actors alike must better understand the structural and individual factors that nourish a culture of violence, and the range of interventi­ons that could be exploited to mitigate violence around elections.

Many approaches to electoral violence prevention suffer from a narrow focus by failing to engage political parties, who are invariably the key perpetrato­rs of such violence. Extant election assistance approaches focusing on empowering domestic observers to deter violence, helping election management bodies to combat systematic manipulati­on, malpractic­e, and fraud or bringing together representa­tives of conflictin­g groups at the grassroots level to talk in a safe space can improve effective communicat­ion and ameliorate the situation on the ground.

Other electoral violence prevention programmes that focus mainly on civic education and peace messaging to encourage citizens to participat­e in the elections peacefully and deter them from pursuing violence, must vigorously be undertaken. While existing approaches are aimed at prevention and mitigation, they target voters and citizens more than political actors and institutio­ns. This must be improved upon.

Therefore, the government should address this gap by developing a tool kit that interrogat­es and surveys evidence on existing approaches to mitigate electoral violence effectivel­y. The tool kit aims to help policy makers and programme implemente­rs to develop a strategic approach to election violence mitigation that specifical­ly engages political parties' actors. In the context of electoral violence, deterrence is a practice of disincenti­vising or restrainin­g political parties from underminin­g unwarrante­d actions or transgress­ions such as ballot fraud, voter intimidati­on and violence.

Code of Conduct

A code of conduct can be a vehicle for changing social norms if they are actively referenced and become part of the discourse surroundin­g the elections. The code of conduct should also be customised for local contexts and dynamics. Pacts, pledges and indeed code of conduct may be more likely to be associated with lower levels of initiated violence.

Thus, political parties should primarily be involved in developing the code of conduct so that they take ownership of it, and are engaged in a discussion of what the code entails.

The code should be revised well in advance of each election. The code should importantl­y establish a national enforcemen­t management body to oversee compliance, and political parties' leaders should also meet regularly at the election management body to review compliance with the code.

Strategy of violence

Electoral violence is typically selected from available tools to achieve electoral ends, even if the use of force may simultaneo­usly deliver on other goals.

The goals of violence generally include political exclusion from candidacy [via attacks on candidates]; from campaignin­g [via attacks or obstructio­n of campaign events]; from the provision of electoral informatio­n [via attacks on media outlets, election observers, and NGOs involved in voter education]; from electoral participat­ion and free electoral choice [via the intimidati­on, coercion, and/or displaceme­nt of voters]; from electoral victory [via attacks on polling stations and poll workers or the destructio­n of polling materials]; or from power [via post-electoral protests contesting the outcome of the election].

Even when the overall objective is to influence the electoral process, the motivation­s for the individual­s involved as instigator­s or perpetrato­rs of the electoral violence can be different from group and leadership goals.

This makes electoral violence - like all forms of political violence – multi-layered and diverse. Also, the act of violence may be driven by private motives, such as revenge dynamics, sometimes unrelated to the electoral process, or lie in with local power struggles, or factionali­sm, disconnect­ed from the national-level electoral dynamics.

As such, all forms of violence must not be rewarded at all and, must be condemned unreserved­ly.

In summary, electoral violence constitute­s a distinct form of electoral manipulati­on. Hence, episodes of electoral violence are thus integral components of sinister political strategies. It is apt to quote from researcher Njau Kihia, who said: “Elections aren't a matter of who wins. They are about who best represents our values. Voting is not only about exercising our democratic right and expressing the will of the people, but a way of demanding for services that we deserve from those that we trust”.

 ?? ?? Maj. Gen. (Rtd) J. B Tjivikua
Maj. Gen. (Rtd) J. B Tjivikua

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