Bay of Plenty Times

Massive Russian military build-up on Ukraine border

Tanks, artillery and thousands of troops at disputed border

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An evolving crisis on the Russia-ukraine border has Europe on high alert. Russian officials have been quick to downplay footage of tanks, artillery and as many as 4000 troops mobilising on the disputed border, which has been under the microscope since 2014 when Russia invaded the Crimea region which is internatio­nally recognised as being part of Ukraine. President Vladimir Putin authorised military force which saw Moscow seize Crimea as well as parts of the eastern Donbas region of Ukraine. All of these actions were preceded by Russian troop build up on the border.

Worryingly, recent footage has emerged of the Russian military again setting up shop in the regions of Voronezh, Rostov and Krasnodar, on Ukraine’s eastern border.

As the heat once again begins to rise between the two nations, a

Russian military expert has pondered whether the world might be equipped to deal with a new assault on Ukraine.

Speaking to the Rosbalt news organisati­on in Russia, defence analyst Pavel Felgenhaue­r said the unpredicta­bility of the nation’s push was cause for extra concern.

“The crisis has the potential to escalate into a pan-european war, if not even a world one,” Felgenhaue­r said. “For now, [just] potential. Will it happen or not? Let’s wait and see. In the West, they don’t know what to do about it.”

He added that Russia was building towards its annual Victory Day parade on May 9 when examples of the nuclear superpower’s arsenal will be paraded through the Moscow streets and Putin will give a keynote speech.

Felgenhaue­r said the closure of pro-russian TV channels in Ukraine, the threat of arrest and trial of Ukrainian politician Viktor Medvedchyu­k, the arrest of Alexei Navalny, and US President Joe Biden’s descriptio­n of Putin as a “killer” were all pieces of the puzzle in Russia’s latest display of power.

“The threats are growing, and rapidly. Much is not discussed in the media, but we are seeing very bad signs,’ he said. “The facts are there, everything is already happening.”

Russian officials have already warned the West against getting involved, with Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov insisting they would take additional measures if the West sent military aid.

Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said the Ukraine military understood the severity of pursuing conflict with Russia, ominously warning that a new war in the region of Donbas would “destroy Ukraine”.

“I very much hope that they will not be ‘incited’ by politician­s, who in turn will be ‘incited’ by the West, led by the United States,” said Lavrov.

US President Biden pledged support in his first phone call to Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky on Saturday after the Kiev Government accused Moscow of building up a military threat on its border.

In a statement released by the White House, Biden “affirmed the United States’ unwavering support for Ukraine’s sovereignt­y and territoria­l integrity in the face of Russia’s ongoing aggression in the Donbass and Crimea”.

Zelensky has been particular­ly vocal about Russia’s growing presence on his doorstep.

“Russian military build-up on the border with Ukraine and muscleflex­ing in the form of military exercises and possible provocatio­ns along the border is a traditiona­l Russian affair,” Zelensky said. “In this way, it seeks to create an atmosphere of threat and, at the same time, of pressure during the negotiatio­ns on the ceasefire and on peace as our value.”

A Nato source told Reuters this week that there are concerns over Russia’s recent military mobilisati­on despite Moscow’s insisted it is not being a threat.

“Allies are also concerned about Russian violations of the July 2020 ceasefire that led to the death of four Ukrainian soldiers last week,” the official said.

Reuters Kiev correspond­ent Hasan Abdullah said the Ukrainian military confirmed it had carried out military drills with Nato forces, but there was still “off camera” hesitation for the scale of support coming from internatio­nal militaries.

“There is this view here that Ukraine has been brought into a direct conflict, and that the US does not go beyond statements and political support,” he said.— news.com.au

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