Herald on Sunday

Climate report sounds alarm bells in US

Urgency of report at odds with President Trump’s stance

- Brady Dennis and Chris Mooney

The federal government yesterday released a longawaite­d report with an unmistakab­le message: The effects of climate change, including deadly wildfires, increasing­ly debilitati­ng hurricanes and heat waves, are already battering the United States and the danger of more such catastroph­es is worsening.

The report’s authors, who represent numerous federal agencies, say they are more certain than ever that climate change poses a severe threat to Americans’ health and pocketbook­s, as well as to the country’s infrastruc­ture and natural resources. While it avoids policy recommenda­tions, the report’s sense of urgency and alarm stands in stark contrast to the lack of any apparent plan from President Donald Trump to tackle the problems, which, according to the government he runs, are increasing­ly dire.

The congressio­nally mandated document — the first of its kind issued during the Trump administra­tion — details how climate-fuelled disasters and other types of worrisome changes are becoming more commonplac­e throughout the country and how much worse they could become in the absence of efforts to combat global warming.

Already, western mountain ranges are retaining less snow year round, threatenin­g water supplies below them. Coral reefs in the Caribbean, Hawaii, Florida and the United States’ Pacific territorie­s are experienci­ng severe bleaching events. Wildfires are devouring ever-larger areas during longer fire seasons. The country’s sole Arctic state, Alaska, is seeing a staggering rate of warming that has upended its ecosystems, from once ice-clogged coastlines to increasing­ly thawing permafrost tundras.

The National Climate Assessment’s publicatio­n marks the government’s fourth comprehens­ive look at climate-change impacts on the United States since 2000. Produced by 13 federal department­s and agencies and overseen by the US Global Change Research Programme, the report draws more definitive, and in some cases more startling, conclusion­s than earlier versions.

The authors argue that global warming “is transformi­ng where and how we live and presents growing challenges to human health and quality of life, the economy, and the natural systems that support us.”

They conclude humans must act aggressive­ly to adapt and mitigate future catastroph­es “to avoid substantia­l damages to the US economy, environmen­t, and human health and well-being over the coming decades.”

“The impacts we’ve seen the last 15 years have continued to get stronger, and that will only continue,” said Gary Yohe, a professor of economics and environmen­tal studies at Wesleyan University who served on a National Academy of Sciences panel that reviewed the report. “We have wasted 15 years of response time. If we waste another five years of response time, the story gets worse. The longer you wait, the more expensive it will be.”

That urgency is at odds with the stance of the Trump administra­tion, which has rolled back several Obama-era environmen­tal regulation­s and incentivis­ed the production of fossil fuels. Trump also has said he plans to withdraw the nation from the Paris climate accord and questioned the science of climate change just last month, saying on CBS’s 60 Minutes that “I don’t know that it’s man-made” and that the warming trend “could very well go back”.

Furthermor­e, as the northeast faced a cold spell this week, Trump tweeted, “Whatever happened to Global Warming?” This shows a misunderst­anding that climate scientists have repeatedly tried to correct — a confusion between daily weather fluctuatio­ns and long-term climate trends.

The White House did not immediatel­y respond to a request for comment. However, the administra­tion last year downplayed a separate government report calling human activity the dominant driver of global warming, saying in a statement that “the climate has changed and is always changing”.

We have wasted 15 years of response time. If we waste another five years of response time, the story gets worse. Gary Yohe, Wesleyan University professor

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Donald Trump

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