Manawatu Standard

Vagueware taking over tech

Too many companies and startups these days are vague about the technology in their products, writes Richard Macmanus.

- ❚ Richard Macmanus (@ricmac) founded tech blog Readwrite Web in 2003 and has since become an internatio­nally recognised commentato­r on what’s next in technology and what it means for society.

Microsoft chief executive Satya Nadella recently sent out a tweet announcing a partnershi­p with Publicis Groupe, a multinatio­nal advertisin­g and PR company.

Nadella said they would build an artificial intelligen­ce product called Marcel, as some type of collaborat­ion platform to ‘‘empower’’ the 80,000 employees of Publicis Groupe.

Nadella’s tweet didn’t offer much detail about the new AI platform, other than saying it would provide ‘‘intelligen­t insights’’. But Nadella did link to ayoutube video of him and Publicis Groupe chief executive Arthur Sadoun talking about the partnershi­p.

Good, I thought, they’ll explain to me exactly how Marcel will work.

Of course that didn’t happen. The three-minute video was a series of platitudes between the two men, who each profusely thanked the other for the partnershi­p and said how ‘‘excited’’ and ‘‘thrilled’’ they are. The cultural fit is tremendous, apparently.

The closest we got to specific product detail was Sadoun’s comment that Marcel will help Publicis employees to ‘‘learn more’’, to ‘‘share more’’, and to ‘‘create more’’.

So…is this an AI version of Sharepoint? In case you don’t know it, Sharepoint is Microsoft’s web-based collaborat­ion software that integrates with Microsoft Office. I’d always found Sharepoint to be overly complicate­d, so perhaps it does need an AI to take control.

Next I googled the official press release for Marcel. It was nearly as bad as the video in its lack of specifics. The only semi-useful informatio­n it contained was that Marcel will ‘‘leverage’’ Microsoft Azure AI and Office 365.

Unfortunat­ely, this experience – trying to work out what exactly Microsoft is promoting – is becoming increasing­ly common in the software industry.

Too many companies and startups these days are vague about the technology in their products. Telling me it will help people learn more or share more is not telling me anything.

How specifical­ly will Marcel help someone learn or share? What will the architectu­re look like?

You don’t have to give away any intellectu­al property. But some level of detail is required to convince me that your product is more than just talk.

I’ve decided to call these products ‘‘vagueware’’. I define vagueware as software that is only vaguely described and has no discernibl­e features.

Think of it as similar to vapourware, which is when a software company makes big claims about an upcoming product then ends up never releasing it.

Startups are notorious for announcing vagueware.

Take Magic Leap, a well-funded American startup (US$1.9 billion) which has been promising a revolution­ary ‘‘mixed reality’’ headset for the past several years.

In early 2016, Magic Leap released a video showing a virtual whale leaping out of a gymnasium floor, to the astonished reaction of a group of children.

Many people came across this video on their daily web surf and assumed it was an actual product demo. But it later emerged it was just a scripted marketing video.

Journalist­s from Wired and Rolling Stone have since seen Magic Leap’s mysterious software in action, so apparently there’s a real product behind the hype.

So I don’t think it’s vapourware. However it is certainly vagueware, because we don’t yet know how it will work in the real world.

Needless to say, there’s no shortage of vagueware in the cryptocurr­ency and blockchain market.

Last week I wrote about a local ICO (initial coin offering) which claimed it sold US$80 million of virtual currency. But when I looked closer, there was very little evidence that this company’s products use blockchain technology – which was the main selling point in the ICO.

The company’s nearly 50-page white paper is vague and avoids specifics about how its products will use blockchain.

It’s not just blockchain startups coming out with dubious white papers. Kodak is trying to cash in on the cryptocurr­ency craze with a project called Kodakcoin. It’s being marketed as ‘‘a photo-centric cryptocurr­ency to empower photograph­ers and agencies to take greater control in image rights management’’.

The announceme­nt caused a large spike in Kodak’s stock price. But on closer inspection, the project lacked specifics. The New York Times lambasted the white paper of Kodakcoin, calling it ‘‘a 40-page mishmash of marketing buzzwords and vague diagrams’’.

A Bloomberg article also ripped into Kodakcoin, noting that ‘‘there is nothing especially crypto, or blockchain, about this project’’. The main point of blockchain technology is to decentrali­se data. But according to Bloomberg, Kodakcoin is simply a ‘‘centralise­d database of photo rights’’.

Let’s not forget our own Eric Watson’s venture into vagueware. An American company that Watson part-owns, Long Island Iced Tea Corp, hilariousl­y rebranded itself in December to ‘‘Long Blockchain Corp’’. Overnight, the stock price tripled.

So how much progress has Watson’s company made on blockchain technologi­es in the past six weeks? I’m glad you asked, because Long Blockchain Corp issued a formal update to Nasdaq just last week. Ahem, the exbeverage company announced it has formed ‘‘a Blockchain Strategy Committee’’.

I presume a white paper is in the works then.

 ?? AP ?? Microsoft chief executive Satya Nadella has announced a new product called Marcel that sounds like vagueware.
AP Microsoft chief executive Satya Nadella has announced a new product called Marcel that sounds like vagueware.

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