New Zealand Listener

Suing to save us

In the face of perceived political inaction on climate change, citizens worldwide are taking the case to court.

- By Rebecca Macfie

In the face of perceived political inaction on climate change, citizens worldwide are taking cases to court.

The US State Department sent the official resignatio­n note to the United Nations last week: the Trump Administra­tion is dumping the Paris climate agreement. But as the world’s second-largest greenhouse gas emitter turns its back on the global accord, the climate clock keeps ticking. Time is running out for emphatic action to rapidly drive down carbon emissions before rising temperatur­es trigger runaway ice-sheet collapse, extreme droughts and storms and incalculab­le misery.

The US exit will make it even harder for remaining nations to meet the Paris pledge of limiting warming to 2°C and keeping as close as possible to 1.5°C. On the present course, we are heading towards a world that’s 3.6°C warmer than pre-industrial times.

And even the 2°C goal is not the threshold for safety it is often understood to be, according to veteran US climate scientist James Hansen. Instead, it would be “disastrous”, triggering human migration that would cause the world to become “nearly ungovernab­le”. Hansen warns of a planet that’s “largely unrecognis­able … marked in vast reaches by unbearable summer heat, ecological collapse, species extinction, widespread famine, coastal cities lost to rising seas, mass human migration and … national and internatio­nal conflict”.

So what are people who understand that global leaders are bequeathin­g them a hellish future to do? Increasing­ly, they are taking the law into their own hands – literally. Instead of picking up placards and loudhailer­s, climate-conscious citizens – including kids too young to vote – are seeking out like-minded lawyers, writing affidavits, recruiting expert witnesses and heading for the courts.

In New Zealand, 26-year-old Sarah Thomson is at the front line of a global battle for the climate that is being fought out before the judiciary. Her applicatio­n for a judicial review, heard in June by the High Court at Wellington, alleges the Government breached the law by failing to review its 2050 climate target to reduce emissions by 50%. She also alleges it acted unlawfully by failing to properly take into account the economic costs of climate change when it set a target under the Paris climate accord of reducing emissions by 11% by 2030 (compared with 1990 levels). In its defence, the Government has argued the target is consistent with the 2°C goal and is a “fair and ambitious contributi­on” to the global effort from New Zealand, which is a “small emitter”.

When Thomson filed her lawsuit with the court in late 2015 – just before world leaders met in Paris and agreed on the climate accord – then-Prime Minister John Key dismissed it as “a joke”. “If we are getting sued, I hate to think what is happening in the US and Australia and other countries actually … their climate targets are lower than ours,” he told the New Zealand Herald at the time.

But if Key had been adequately informed on climate issues, he would have known that government­s in those other countries were facing a rising tide of litigation.

THE YOUNG TAKE UP THE CASE

In the most high-profile of a rapidly growing list of internatio­nal climate lawsuits, 21 child and youth plaintiffs (aged nine to 21) are taking the US federal Government to court, alleging it is violating their rights to “life, liberty, and property” and is in breach of its obligation to “hold certain natural resources in trust for the people and for future generation­s”.

The action, Juliana v US, was filed against the Obama Administra­tion in 2015 but has been inherited by the Trump Administra­tion.

The case has faced vigorous resistance from the federal Government and the combined might of the oil, coal and gas industries. But in a key breakthrou­gh in October last year – before Trump was elected

It would be “disastrous”, triggering human migration that would cause the world to become “nearly ungovernab­le”.

– Judge Ann Aiken of the US District Court in Eugene, Oregon, not only ruled that the Juliana v US case should go to a substantiv­e hearing but recognised a key role for the judiciary in the battle to save the climate system from catastroph­e.

“This action is of a different order than the typical environmen­tal case,” she wrote. “It alleges that the defendant’s action and inactions … have so profoundly damaged the home planet that they threaten [the] plaintiffs’ fundamenta­l constituti­onal rights to life and liberty.”

Aiken said she had “no doubt that the right to a climate system capable of sustaining human life is fundamenta­l to a free and ordered society … a stable climate system is quite literally the foundation of society, without which there would be neither civilisati­on nor progress”.

The federal courts in the past had been “cautious and overly deferentia­l” in the area of environmen­tal law, she said, citing US Appeals Court judge Alfred Goodwin’s public condemnati­on of the performanc­e of the judiciary in protecting the environmen­t. In an article titled “A Wake-up Call for Judges”, Goodwin wrote of a “wholesale failure of the legal system to protect humanity from the collapse of finite natural systems by the uncontroll­ed pursuit of short-term profits …

“Only the judges are equal to the task of protecting the people’s rights to clean air and safe drinking water.”

By Aiken’s own descriptio­n, Juliana v US is “ground-breaking” legal action. However, the Trump Administra­tion threw another hurdle in the lawsuit’s path to a substantiv­e hearing last month, filing an extraordin­ary and rare writ of mandamus calling for the Court of Appeals to independen­tly review Aiken’s decision even before the case has gone to trial.

Even if this obstacle is cleared and the case proceeds to court as scheduled, in February next year, it is certain to be fought all the way to the Supreme Court.

A MATTER OF COMMITMENT

The fact that the lawsuit has got this far is largely down to the conviction and drive of Oregon lawyer Julia Olson. Olson had been practising environmen­tal law for 20 years when she realised she was barely scratching the surface of climate challenge.

“I was eight months’ pregnant with my second son when I watched [Al Gore’s] An Inconvenie­nt Truth in 2006, and I just thought, ‘Oh, we are just not doing anything that is up to this task right now,’” she told the Listener.

After extensive reading and consultati­on with other lawyers, she decided on her response. “I just had this moment of clarity when I said, ‘This is what we have to do – be really strategic, big litigation, lots of lawyers, all seeking science-based climate plans from Government that must be implemente­d in time to save the planet.’”

In 2010, she set up a non-profit organisati­on, Our Children’s Trust, and recruited lawyers to work without pay to represent young people “who have the most at stake” and who wanted to be plaintiffs in climate trials. She found many environmen­tal lawyers were hesitant, but those who had a background in litigation that had helped bring about cultural and social change – such as anti-tobacco and pro-gay marriage lawsuits – were keen.

Olson’s strategy has been to go geographic­ally broad and legally deep. In mid-2011, she and her backers filed suits simultaneo­usly in all 50 US states. They lost many cases, some were dismissed and some have crept forward. But she says each case helped build an understand­ing of what it will take to push a lawsuit through to a successful conclusion.

In one breakthrou­gh action, taken on behalf of youth plaintiffs against Washington State’s Department of Ecology, Superior Judge Hollis Hill wrote: “This is an urgent situation. This is not a situation in which these children can wait … Polar bears can’t wait. The people of Bangladesh [where millions

“A stable climate system is quite literally the foundation of society, without which there would be neither civilisati­on nor progress.”

will be displaced by rising seas] can’t wait.”

Olson also worked closely with US legal scholar Mary Woods, an expert in the ancient legal doctrine of the “public trust” and its applicatio­n to the climate system. Rooted in Roman law as part of the Justinian Code – a collection of laws codified under Emperor Justinian I – it holds that the air, water, seas and seashores are resources held in common by the people and managed in trust by government­s. The concept has been described as “a foundation­al principle of organised civilisati­on”.

By anchoring its legal action in the allegation that the public trust has been breached, Our Children’s Trust is “going back to the roots [of the law]”, says Olson. “The root of our civilisati­on is the climate system, and the root of our legal system and our relationsh­ip to natural resources is the public trust doctrine.”

If it gets past the latest attack from the Trump Administra­tion and proceeds to trial, the Juliana v US hearing will last about six weeks, and will include evidence on how long the federal Government has known of the damage fossil fuels are causing while failing to take action to prevent it. Olson says her team has unearthed reports from 1965 predicting that cities including Washington DC and New York “are going to be underwater if we keep burning fossil fuels”.

HEAVYWEIGH­T SUPPORT

There will also be evidence on the economic cost of climate change, the availabili­ty of renewable energy, and from scientists including James Hansen, whose granddaugh­ter Sophie Kivlehan is one of the plaintiffs. In a just-published paper, Hansen, a climatolog­ist and former head of Nasa’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, says the evidence shows that not only do fossil-fuel emissions have to stop, but also “negative emissions” – extraction of carbon dioxide from the air – are needed from forestry and improved soil management to keep global warming within safe bounds.

Otherwise today’s young people will be saddled with an enormous burden, including having to undertake high-tech carbon capture and storage at a “minimal estimated cost of US$89-535 trillion this century”.

Much of the Olson team’s evidence on climate change had already been acknowledg­ed as accurate by the federal Government when the Obama Administra­tion was still in office, and Olson says the Trump Administra­tion has not changed that.

She has an uncompromi­sing vision of what a successful outcome would be. “Success would be the court declaring constituti­onal rights and public trust rights have been violated, and that the constituti­onal standard for protecting these young people

CO₂ and their climate system is having no higher

CO₂ than 350 parts per million by the end of this century [ concentrat­ions are now over 400ppm], to stabilise long-term warming at no more than 1°C, and ordering the Government to prepare a plan to reduce emissions in line with a trajectory of getting back to those numbers and implementi­ng it under court supervisio­n over decades.” Is that realistic?

“Yes. People are always shocked, and it’s so irritating when people say, ‘Oh, you won’t win, but at least the case is generating awareness.’ That’s not why we are doing it. We are doing it to win the case and get the order.”

She says there is good precedent for the courts to take a long-term supervisor­y role over such a climate plan. For instance, a California­n lawsuit over prison overcrowdi­ng resulted in a ruling requiring the state to prepare a plan to reduce prisoner numbers, with the court retaining implementa­tion oversight. The school desegregat­ion battles of the 1950s and 60s also saw the judiciary dictating details such as the ratio of black and white students in particular schools and the amount of bussing of students required.

Ninety companies have been shown to be responsibl­e for 66% of carbon dioxide and methane emissions from 1854 to 2010.

LONG ARM OF THE LAW

Olson’s strategy of using the law as a lever

for urgent climate action now reaches far beyond US shores. Her group is supporting the case of a nine-year-old litigant in India who has filed a suit against the Government alleging breach of the public trust and citing Aiken’s findings. She is also working with lawyers in Australia, Canada and Sri Lanka to develop lawsuits in those countries and is supporting litigation against Pakistan’s Government alleging a breach of the public trust and seeking to stop the developmen­t of massive new coal mines. The action was filed in April 2016 on behalf of a seven-year-old girl.

She is also working with a Belgian nonprofit group suing the Government in that country, demanding practical policies and substantiv­e action to back up emissionre­duction targets.

The Belgian case mirrors an earlier landmark lawsuit in the Netherland­s, in which the court found in favour of climate litigants calling for a more aggressive emissionre­duction policy. The 2015 ruling was the outcome of a case brought by environmen­tal group the Urgenda Foundation and 900 citizen plaintiffs against the Government in The Hague. The case was led by Dutch lawyer Roger Cox, the author of 2011 book Revolution Justified, in which he argues that neither the market nor politician­s are capable of the decisive action needed to rescue the climate system and that only the judici- ary is in a position to lead societies out of danger.

In the Urgenda case, that philosophy was rewarded with a court order requiring the Dutch Government to limit greenhouse gas emissions to 25% below 1990 levels by 2020. The court found that the Government’s existing pledge of reducing emissions by 17% amounted to “hazardous negligence” and was insufficie­nt to meet the country’s contributi­on to the UN target of limiting warming to 2°C.

The court rebuffed the Government’s claim that because Dutch emissions were only 0.5% of the global total, unilateral reductions by the Netherland­s would be futile – an argument commonly heard in New Zealand in defence of modest climate action. “[Any] anthropoge­nic greenhouse

CO₂] gas emission, no matter how minor, contribute­s to an increase of [ levels in the atmosphere and therefore to hazardous climate change,” the ruling said. The state has “a duty of care to mitigate as quickly and as much as possible”.

Romany Webb, a fellow at the Sabin Center for Climate Change Law at Columbia University in New York, says every case is unique, and attempts to apply the findings from the Urgenda decision in other countries with different legal and constituti­onal frameworks will face difficulti­es. But “the courts can take what’s called judicial notice of cases in different countries, although they are not binding in the same way as they would be in the country itself. But [Urgenda] is an incredibly important decision, and we have seen cases raising similar arguments in other places and we will continue to see that.”

A report published by the Sabin Center and the UN Environmen­t Programme in May confirmed that the volume of climate litigation is growing rapidly, with cases filed in 24 countries as of March 2017. Because of the “super wicked” nature of the climate problem and the inadequacy of government­s’ emission-reduction pledges, “litigation has arguably never been a more important tool to push policymake­rs and market participan­ts” to come up with effective action to cut emissions and make the adaptation­s needed to an already-altered climate, according to the report.

The court found that the Dutch Government’s existing pledge of reducing emissions by 17% amounted to “hazardous negligence”.

A GRAND PROJECT

Veteran environmen­tal lawyer James Thornton sees litigation in defence of the climate system as “one grand sweeping project”. US-born and London-based Thornton is the founder of ClientEart­h, a non-profit law firm funded by philanthro­pists that has spread its operations from the UK to continenta­l Europe and Africa. It has also been engaged by the Chinese Government to train hundreds of judges in how to interpret that country’s environmen­tal

protection law to help bring about a rapid response to climate change.

Thornton regards the Earth itself as his firm’s client, and his legal strategy is multiprong­ed. At one end of the spectrum is what he calls “trench warfare” – project-by-project litigation to block the likes of coal plants and logging of ancient forests. At the other end, he is working through the financial system to remind those with a duty to look after other people’s money that they are obliged to protect it from the economic impact of climate change and the risk of massive financial losses on stranded fossil-fuel assets (see Listener, July 22).

Although ClientEart­h has so far not sued any directors or pension fund trustees for failing to manage climate risk as part of their fiduciary duties, Thornton has loudly telegraphe­d the threat in correspond­ence with BP, as well as in complaints to the UK’s Financial Reporting Council over the alleged failure of oil and gas companies Cairn Energy and Soco Internatio­nal to disclose climate-related risks in their financial statements.

And in a world-first-lawsuit this week, court papers were filed against Australia’s Commonweal­th Bank for an alleged failure to properly disclose the risks to the business from climate change. The action is being brought by lawyers at Environmen­tal Justice Australia on behalf of Commonweal­th Bank shareholde­rs Guy and Kim Abrahams. It follows a legal opinion last year by Australian lawyers Noel Hutley and Sebastian HartfordDa­vis, who said it was “a matter of time” before company directors faced legal action for failing to consider and disclose business risks posed by climate change.

“Trillions of dollars have to be spent on clean energy in coming years,” Thornton told the Listener. “That money is there to invest, but we have big barriers and calcified ways of thinking that prevent it moving in the right directions. So one of the goals is to move the money in the right way.”

Another strand of Thornton’s strategy has been to target state subsidies of fossil-fuelindust­ries. “We have had some good success in Poland, working to stop 14 state [coal] power plants. The state was going to get free emission allowances [under the European Emissions Trading Scheme], and by legal argument, we forced the EU to withdraw that so the finances of the project had to stand on their own two feet without subsidies.”

What of the prospect of fossil-fuel companies being sued by citizens whose lives are harmed and property damaged by extreme storms, droughts, wildfires and rising seas? Thornton calls this the “Holy Grail” of climate litigation, and says it is inevitable as “science and the law join forces”.

In an article in Nature, co-written by London financier Howard Covington, Thornton outlined the hurdles to suc- cess for such a lawsuit. A plaintiff would need to prove that carbon emissions had brought about the extreme weather event that caused harm or damage and to sheet responsibi­lity for those emissions home to a company or organisati­on. They argue there are parallels in tobacco and asbestos cases, where the courts have accepted evidence that the offending substances substantia­lly increased the probabilit­y of harm.

As scientists improve their ability to attribute specific weather events to climate change, it will become easier to satisfy the courts, argue Thornton and Covington. For instance, scientists at the UK Met Office Hadley Centre have calculated that heatwaves that would have occurred twice a century in the early 2000s are now expected to occur twice a decade because of greenhouse gas emissions.

Because there are multiple contributo­rs to those emissions, a plaintiff would have to prove that a particular defendant was responsibl­e for a share of them to hold that entity liable for a proportion of the damage. Although this would not be straightfo­rward, say Thornton and Covington, scientists have shown that just 90 companies are responsibl­e for two-thirds of all carbon dioxide and methane emissions from 1854 to 2010 – among them global giants such as Exxon Mobil and Chevron.

GROUNDBREA­KING TRIAL

Although such damages claims against fossil-fuel companies have so far been unsuccessf­ul in the courts, climate litigation’s Holy Grail may have come a little closer in July with the filing of a lawsuit by three local government­s in California against 37 coal, oil and gas companies, including Exxon, Chevron, BP, Shell and Total.

San Mateo and Marin counties and Imperial Beach city are coastal communitie­s affected by rising seas. In what the Mercury News called a “co-ordinated litigation attack”, they allege greenhouse gas emissions from the defendant companies are causing sea levels to rise, putting public and private property at risk and affecting the rights of residents.

The councils argue the companies knew of the risk but carried out a “co-ordinated, multi-front effort” to “discredit the growing body of publicly available scientific evidence and persistent­ly create doubt”.

It’s yet another “groundbrea­king” climate case, observes law expert Michael Burger of the Sabin Center. “Each of the complaints presents the same simple, compelling storyline,” wrote Burger in a recent blog post. “These fossil-fuel companies knew. They knew that climate change was happening, that fossil-fuel production and use was causing it, and that continued fossil-fuel production and use would only make it worse. They knew this, but they hid it. And then they lied about it and paid other people to lie about it for them. All the while they profited from it and plotted to profit more. Ultimately, their actions caused sea levels to rise and thereby caused harm, are continuing to cause harm and are contributi­ng to future harm to the plaintiff government­s and their residents.”

As in the Juliana v US case, “success on the merits is far from assured. But it could happen,” says Burger. “The facts are there, making the case for causation and culpabilit­y.” Such lawsuits “represent a new pressure point on the fossil-fuel industry”. The mere prospect of a “judicial judgment affirming the plaintiffs’ case might nudge these companies to accelerate their own transition away from past practices towards new approaches to providing energy to consumers”.

“We have had some good success in Poland, working to stop 14 state [coal] power plants.”

 ??  ?? James Thornton: the “Holy Grail” of climate litigation is inevitable.
James Thornton: the “Holy Grail” of climate litigation is inevitable.
 ??  ?? Julia Olson: going back to Roman law to press for climate action.
Julia Olson: going back to Roman law to press for climate action.
 ??  ?? James Hansen: we need to halt CO2 emissions and begin removing it from the air to limit warming.
James Hansen: we need to halt CO2 emissions and begin removing it from the air to limit warming.
 ??  ?? Sarah Thomson: alleges the Government broke the law in setting its 2050 emissions target.
Sarah Thomson: alleges the Government broke the law in setting its 2050 emissions target.
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