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LOW-CARB LOW-DOWN

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The claim that a dietary pattern that improves health also

shortens life is extraordin­ary, and should be supported by a high standard of evidence ( Nutrition, December 15).

Yet the average person in the study referred to reported eating an implausibl­y low number of calories, indicating considerab­le inaccuracy. Unfortunat­ely, this sort of thing is par for the course in associatio­nal studies.

A more serious defect is the fact that alcohol consumptio­n was not reported or adjusted for anywhere in the study paper. We can be sure that excessive drinking shortens life expectancy.

Researcher­s have also found that alcohol, as a source of energy, displaces carbohydra­tes in the diet more than it displaces other nutrients. Yet even in studies where alcohol has been reported, people have been found to under-report its consumptio­n by a factor of two to four.

Accuracy could be improved if the associatio­n of diet with accidental death was always calculated, as no food properly chewed causes accidental death except for alcohol.

In a 2009 study, eating red meat was associated with a 26% higher risk of accidental death, much the same as the risk of the other adverse health outcomes that were associated with eating red meat.

This raises the question whether much of the observatio­nal research used to scare us off food would, properly analysed, be better employed in scaring us sober. George Henderson (Huia, Auckland)

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