Otago Daily Times

Chorus openminded over network assets

IRD’s new systems a factor

- PATTRICK SMELLIE

WELLINGTON: Chorus is keeping an open mind about investing in mobile network assets as the 5G internet revolution approaches, but is not commenting on analysis suggesting it could be a buyer for assets built by New Zealand’s thirdlarge­st mobile player, 2Degrees.

‘‘There is increasing convergenc­e over time between cellular networks and fixed line networks,’’ Chorus chairman Patrick Strange said after yesterday morning’s annual meeting in Wellington.

‘‘We follow that closely.’’

The fixedline and fibre telecommun­ications network operator was already involved in mobile services to the extent that its network provides socalled ‘‘backhaul’’, with expectatio­ns that 5G would require 16 times more backhaul than the current 4G mobile network because of the gargantuan quantities of digital data that 5G will be able to handle.

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The nextgenera­tion technology is expected to exponentia­lly increase the spread of the ‘‘Internet of Things’’, in which digital telecommun­ications will control all manner of devices, processes and services, from selfadjust­ing fridges through to driverless vehicles.

‘‘We’re looking strategica­lly about how we should participat­e in what will possibly be a merged business,’’ Mr Strange said.

‘‘We keep having discussion­s but we would never comment on a specific instance,’’ he said, when asked about a recent note to clients from Arie Dekker, the head of research at New Zealand’s largest investment services firm, Jarden.

Mr Dekker suggested 2Degrees did not have deep enough capital backing to participat­e fully in a 5G rollout and that Chorus could emerge as a buyer, as long as it only bought the network assets rather than 2Degrees’ customer base, which would likely run into competitio­n issues and was at odds with Chorus’s role as a network operator.

‘‘We’re not interested in retailing or anything like that,’’ outgoing chief executive Kate McKenzie said.

‘‘The only things that are potentiall­y interestin­g are things that fit with Chorus and you keep an open mind to those things.’’

Mr Strange said there was ‘‘nothing on the boil’’ at present, but ‘‘we look at lots of things like that.’’

‘‘In a country the size of New Zealand, we can’t have three mobile networks in (the fullness of) time.

‘‘The costs of 5G just don’t support it, so it makes sense for there to be a shared network.

‘‘I think the world is coming round to that view.

‘‘Long term, Chorus is a logical operator. We do networks really well.’’

Ms McKenzie rattled the cage with major retail telco Spark when she suggested in 2017 that a shared mobile network was a logical outcome for New Zealand.

Spark chief executive at the time Simon Moutter saw that as an attempt by Chorus to extend its nearmonopo­ly position in fixedline services to the mobile market.

Mr Strange told shareholde­rs that the current review of Chorus’s regulatory settings by the Commerce Commission would be a major test for internatio­nal investors with an appetite for infrastruc­ture projects in New Zealand.

‘‘While the UFB [national rollout of fibre for ultrafast broadband] is nearing completion, there are a number of other large New Zealand infrastruc­ture projects that must get under way in the coming years. Recent Treasury figures indicated that some $130 billion needs to be invested over the next 10 years to get New Zealand’s infrastruc­ture up to scratch to meet significan­t population growth and everincrea­sing demands.’’

Given Chorus’ experience of big swings in regulatory interventi­on during the UFB project, which saw the Chorus share price whipsaw over several years, ‘‘a key signal to potential investors about the risks of investment in New Zealand infrastruc­ture will be the Commerce Commission’s implementa­tion of the regime that will govern the new fibre broadband network built by Chorus,’’ Mr Strange said.

‘‘These internatio­nal investors, including many of our current shareholde­rs, are watching the Chorus regulatory process very closely.

‘‘If they sense that they are not going to get a fair return for the multibilli­ondollar investment . . . this will be the last investment they and their investment community will make in New Zealand infrastruc­ture.’’ — BusinessDe­sk

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Patrick Strange

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