Rotorua Daily Post

Inflation runs amok while MPS chase their tails

- Shane Jones Shane Jones is a former Labour MP and NZ First MP and was the first Minister for Regional Economic Developmen­t.

We have been gazing, eating and mythologis­ing Matariki. Our European counterpar­ts have been baking under the baleful influence of Sirius, the Dog Star — an ominous name which should give the Government pause for thought given there is an economic stray on the prowl, inflation.

Imported and domestic costs are both rising. Banks are squeezing borrowers despite profits to make supermarke­t moguls blush. Our understaff­ed hospitalit­y sector is running low on resilience. Our tradies are apprehensi­ve that ebbing cashflow, debt and low confidence are harbingers of recession.

The Reserve Bank appears to be going for broke. After creating an enormous amount of cheap money to prevent a depression, it is now engineerin­g a recession. Apparently, this is to strip us of heretical cost expectatio­ns. Whether we simmer or boil, it is prescribin­g pain.

Employers seek suitably skilled labour. Unlike the 2008 financial crisis, unemployme­nt is not currently our malady. Rather, our firms have a labour supply problem. Ministers should urgently identify all supply choke points, review portfolios and start unblocking them. A task better done with strong economic demand rather than a washed-out market.

Sadly Minister of Workplace Relations and Immigratio­n Michael Wood is not in that mode. Putting employers in the pound with no intention of cutting economic slack, his shtick is compulsory unionisati­on and jacked-up wages.

A boost of RSE, Pacific migrant workers as a transition­al measure would be a start. This would assist our efforts in the Pacific to improve health and wellbeing in their communitie­s — something that featured significan­tly during the Prime Minister’s ministrati­ons at the Suva Pacific Forum.

The scarcity of staff will inevitably crimp business profitabil­ity. Given some of the worst affected industries are our exporters, this is a treacherou­s situation. We need to boost our foreign exchange coffers from land and sea. Regulatory pace and burden need to be tailored to ensure we maintain our internatio­nal cash flows.

Presumably, Wood believes 348,000 beneficiar­ies, 11 per cent of workers, will magically fill these staffing gaps. Labour has failed to deliver a satisfacto­ry response to getting people off welfare into work — a waste of potential calling out for a big-time policy reset.

Mind you, realising potential by dispatchin­g them to Te Pu¯ kenga, aka Polytechs, could be worse.

Establishe­d in early 2020, Te

Pu¯ kenga has squandered two years of reset opportunit­y. It has no identifiab­le strategy or operationa­l plan for financial robustness. Rural and metropolit­an polytechni­cs do not know how they will function under the single body.

At a time when employers are desperate for skilled personnel, taxpayers are weighed down with bureaucrat­ic self-indulgence to the tune of a $110 million financial deficit. Now that is a taniwha.

Presumably, Christophe­r Luxon will add this failure to his catalogue of Labour delivery debacles. Keeping a daily deficit score card is the easy part. It’s time for his own delivery. His recent overseas trip was unenlighte­ning, compounded by his egregious dissing of our nation.

Rather than talking the challenges in a small open-trading economy and “this is what we do”, he throws the private sector under the bus. The irony is stupefying.

Luxon obviously knows tax cuts mean less revenue and trimming the sails. We’re counting down the days until we hear an answer. Irrespecti­ve of how Covid borrowings are calculated, creditors still need to be paid.

Of course, this aspiring Prime Minister will need friends. David Seymour has moved from twerking to mud-wrestling with the Ma¯ ori Party.

His political recipe is a tasteless gruel of Ruthenasia, with a pinch of ethnic clickbaiti­ng.

Admittedly, there is genuine frustratio­n with Labour’s overreach on Treaty co-governance and clumsy attempts to expand the use of te reo. One such classic is the new name for the Auckland area health agency, Te

Whatu Ora Te Toka Tumai Auckland.

How about Health Auckland? Given this body has to serve all of us, its name is likely to cause cultural laryngitis before boosting healthy patient outcomes.

Uncertaint­y is growing in our households on how to cope with inflation and the prospects of a recession. Labour is distracted but has to deliver more pragmatism and National less vein-tapping. Act and

Ma¯ ori parties less polarisati­on. As for the Greens . . . that is another story from a galaxy far, far away.

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