Groups who could favour:
HILLARY CLINTON Unmarried women* 25%
More numerous than Republican-leaning married women for the first time. 60% voted Democrat in 2012. Make up 27% of population in Georgia and Florida.
Educated white women* 10%
Usually Republicanleaning but many dislike Trump and could vote Democrat this time.
10% in Minnesota and Colorado.
Hispanics* 11%
Traditionally Republican, Florida’s Latino population is increasingly non-Cuban and Democrat, as in some other states.
10-15% in Nevada, Arizona, Florida and Colorado.
DONALD TRUMP White working class* 37%
60% of this very large group are now Republican, particularly male voters. That’s a 10% increase on 2012.
50% in New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Iowa and Ohio.
UNCLEAR Military veterans* 8%
Traditionally Republican, high turnout. But support is falling (65% in 2008, 60% in 2012) and Trump is less popular still.
10% in Virginia, North Carolina and Florida.
White Catholics* 13%
One of the only true swing groups. Less Republican than in 2012.
25% in New Hampshire, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.