The New Zealand Herald

What would it take?

- Donald Trump — AP

You’d think. But with two such unpredicta­ble rulers, no one could be absolutely certain.

Given Trump’s style so far, time might be given to developing some sort of rapport between the two men before any negotiatio­ns began. But major topics would surely emerge before too long.

Among them: Aid to the North, which has played the brinkmansh­ip game many times before with an eye toward getting assistance for its poor, sometimes hungry populace. Relations with the South. And weapons tests — missile and in particular nuclear, which make the US and China, not to mention the South, very uncomforta­ble.

The reaction

The wildcards here would be South Korea, Russia, and, of course, China — the North’s patron for many decades and, of late, its increasing­ly wary and irritated neighbour.

In South Korea’s case, such a meeting would be an existentia­l event. Most agree that Kim’s arsenal has enough accuracy and firepower to devastate the South, and so a meeting between the US, South Korea’s military protector, and the North would have serious security implicatio­ns for Seoul even if virtually nothing of substance was discussed.

China is wary of any US involvemen­t in its sphere of influence, and is already at odds with Washington about territoria­l claims in the South China Sea, while the perennial issue of Taiwan’s autonomy always lurks in the background. Beijing has courted South Korea in recent years more than before, with Chinese President Xi Jinping visiting Seoul in 2014 in what was seen as a hint to the North. (Recent Chinese trepidatio­ns over Thaad, the USmade missile system being set up in South Korea, have restored some of the tension with Beijing.) Against this backdrop, any Trump-Kim sit-down would, using convention­al wisdom, have to involve China and the pressure it can exert on the North — something the Trump White House has always said was necessary. But protocol does not always seem to be the order of the day, as Trump’s unexpected, preinaugur­ation call to Taiwan’s new President underscore­d. Finally, Russia and its leader, Vladimir Putin, would watch from afar with great wariness and probable dismay. Such a meeting could alter Moscow’s relationsh­ips with both Beijing and Washington, and probably Pyongyang as well.

Oh, and let’s not forget the media reaction. Obviously any such meeting would be THE visual of the year for news organisati­ons. Setting it up as a media event would draw hundreds if not thousands of news outlets. That would mean a major infrastruc­ture set-up that’s on par with a summit meeting of leaders or an Olympics.

The allure

Whatever the political implicatio­ns, this much is certain: Any meeting with Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un, anywhere in the world, would be — if it ever actually happened — one of the most dramatic events of the 21st century thus far. It would encompass three major global narratives at once: The US under Donald Trump, and what his Administra­tion means; the Kim family and the unique, mercurial way they have ruled North Korea and projected themselves to the world; and the regional security and defence of East Asia, one of the most strategica­lly pivotal regions in the world. It would be big. It would be loud. It would be momentous, somewhat surreal and entirely unexpected. All things quite familiar to the worlds of two singular, bound-to-change-theworld men named Kim Jong Un and Donald J Trump. Then again, you might not want to hold your breath. This came in yesterday from the official news agency for North Korea, which goes by the formal name Democratic People’s Republic of Korea: “The Trump Administra­tion that newly took office in the US is provoking the DPRK with no reason, not knowing what rival it stands against.”

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