Housing market stalls
Slowest annual rate of price growth seen in region since May 2012
The Auckland housing market has experienced no growth in the past three months and the annual growth rate continues to slide, latest data from Quotable Value shows.
Residential property values across the Auckland region increased 5.3 per cent year-on-year, which is the slowest annual rate of growth seen since May 2012. Quarterly value growth has plateaued for the second month in a row at zero per cent over the three months ended July.
The average value for the Auckland region is now $1,044,303 and is 91.1 per cent higher than the previous peak of 2007. When adjusted for inflation, values rose 3.4 per cent over the past year and are 59.5 per cent above the 2007 peak. That puts them in negative territory across the past three months.
Nationwide residential property values for July increased 6.4 per cent over the past year which is the slowest annual rate since February 2015. Values rose by 1.6 per cent over the past three months and the nationwide average value is now $641,280 which is 54.8 per cent above the previous market peak of late 2007.
Across Auckland values are rising in some parts and dropping in others. Waiheke Island saw the strongest rise with values up 4.1 per cent over the past three months and values also rose slightly in Auckland city suburbs up 0.9 per cent; and on the North Shore up 0.6 per cent; while values decreased the most in Papakura where they dropped 2.6 per cent; they were also down 1.6 per cent in Franklin; 0.7 per cent in Rodney, 0.9 per cent in Waitakere and 0.5 per cent in Manukau over the past quarter.
QV Auckland valuer James Steele said: “The Auckland residential property market is still cooling, with sales volumes down more than 30 per cent on the same period last year while there are twice as many properties listed on the market as there were this time last year. This is meaning properties are generally taking longer to sell and auction clearance rates also remain low, but auction rooms are still well attended so it appears people remain very interested in what the market is doing.”
QV national spokeswoman Andrea Rush said that although the figures showed nationwide values rising, growth was now being driven by regional and provincial centres rather than the largest cities.
“Values continue to plateau in Auckland, Hamilton and Christchurch in a trend seen since October last year when the latest round of LVR restrictions were introduced.”
Hamilton city home values rose 0.4 per cent over the past three months and 5.4 per cent year on year.
Wellington, Dunedin and Tauranga were experiencing a similar trend. Quarterly value growth in Wellington and Dunedin has slowed to below 1 per cent. In Tauranga it has slowed to 1.9 per cent.
Christchurch remains well and truly stalled. Christchurch city values continue to plateau. They rose just 0.6 per cent year-on-year and decreased slightly by 0.2 per cent over the past three months.
Much of the slowdown in the markets was being caused by high prices and banks’ stricter lending criteria, Rush said. “Meaning it’s difficult for many buyers to raise finance to purchase and this is now constraining the market.”
However, with record high net migration continuing and building consents now trending downwards the underlying demand and lack of supply of homes remains in the market, particularly in Auckland, she noted.
“It’s likely that these trends will continue for the rest of the winter and many buyers and sellers are now taking a wait-and-see approach until after winter and the election.”