The New Zealand Herald

Robot pals will help keep us alive

As Kiwis age, some companions and carers won’t be humans

- Contributi­ons are welcome and should be 700-800 words. Send your submission to dialogue@nzherald.co.nz. Text may be edited and used in digital formats as well as on paper. Peter Griffin

Do not try to live forever; you will not succeed, Irish playwright George Bernard Shaw advised — before going on to live to 94. Despite the best efforts of science and deep-pocketed Silicon Valley magnates, immortalit­y still eludes us. But the exponentia­l nature of change in areas such as artificial intelligen­ce, robotics and big data will transform the third act of life for many of us over the next two decades.

We are already living longer, healthier lives thanks to improvemen­ts in medicine, living standards and diet. By 2051, 22 per cent of Kiwis will be aged 65 or older, up from 9 per cent in 1996. In that demographi­c there’ll also be a quarter of a million people aged 85 and up.

A host of social, economic and environmen­tal factors determine the quality of life we will lead as we age. But the current crop of emerging disruptive technologi­es indicates how technology will both improve our lives and profoundly change them.

Visit a retirement home in Tokyo or Osaka today and you’ll see a glimpse of aged care in the future, where companion robots monitor pensioners’ medicine intake, launch video calls to friends and even offer companions­hip.

Sony’s Aibo robot dog seems like a cute gimmick, but it and a host of other robots are the first generation of devices being embraced by a country with an ageing population and high acceptance of new technology.

“The world has changed in the last few decades,” says Professor Bruce MacDonald, head of the robotics group at the University of Auckland and codirector of the Science for Technologi­cal Innovation National Science Challenge. “There’s a role for robots to help people, to be an intermedia­ry.”

MacDonald and colleagues have been trialling small, digital “healthbots” in the homes of New Zealanders with respirator­y illnesses. The gadgets talk to patients, prompting them to take their medicine and exercise, and check on their status through questionna­ires.

The aim is to prevent rehospital­isation of older patients by helping them stick to treatment regimes. But the healthbots also alleviate loneliness.

“We’ve found that people form relationsh­ips with robots really easily,” says MacDonald, who has also trialled companion robots with mild dementia sufferers. “People have told us not to turn the robot off because it is not fair to the robot. One patient got very upset when we went to take the robot away. He said, ‘Who am I going to talk to?’”

If a person can form that sort of bond with a gadget that looks like a chunky Fisher-Price toy with a screen on its front, imagine what will be possible when robots take on more human-like characteri­stics and behaviour over the next 20 years. Japanese robotics researcher­s are making great strides in developing lifelike robots with accurate facial features and expression­s, while other groups are forging ahead developing cognitive intelligen­ce for them.

Chatbot technology, such as that used by Auckland company Soul Machines to create virtual customer service assistants that can understand and respond to unstructur­ed language commands, will allow free-form conversati­on with the next generation of companion robots. Those robots will also have greater ability to move about the home autonomous­ly as robotic motion and vision improve, and lighter and more functional robotic exoskeleto­n devices will allow the wearer to stay active and involved in manual work later into life.

The robots we increasing­ly live and work with will also interact with our homes, where smart sensors will monitor everything from what is in our fridge to temperatur­e and security.

Predictive sensors, the high-tech equivalent of a medical alarm bracelet, will know when someone’s sleeping patterns or the register of their cough suggest they are unwell and in need of medical assistance.

Remote care workers will beam in to check on the elderly via video calls and even holographs.

Home automation systems will increasing­ly do the cleaning, cooking and gardening for us, and within a decade, autonomous vehicles will render a driver licence irrelevant.

Underpinni­ng the biggest technology­driven changes to life and wellbeing beyond age 65 in the next 20 years will be the rise of personalis­ed medicine.

By combining genetic sequencing and testing technology, better medical imaging, preventati­ve healthcare and realtime monitoring of our vital signs, the medical sector will have a much clearer picture of our health and tailor treatments to our specific needs.

That could have radical consequenc­es for some of the diseases we become more susceptibl­e to as we age, including cancer, heart disease and dementia.

The better integratio­n of biological data and technology will transform healthcare behind the scenes, as informatio­n currently sitting in silos will be used in different ways by government department­s and private companies to generate insights about us and offer improved services.

All of the technologi­es mentioned above will evolve rapidly in the next two decades, but won’t dictate our lives or replace human interactio­n to a large degree — unless we wish it.

Sociologic­al research into the impact technology will have on a larger ageing population needs to be undertaken.

Economics will also dictate how equitably access to life-improving technology is distribute­d across society.

is a Wellington-based science and technology journalist

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