De­mon looks hel­luva bet

Ti­ley’s young gal­loper is in line to quinella with Kapoor to­day at Ellerslie

Weekend Herald - - Racing - Mike Dil­lon punt­ing

Prob­a­bly the big­gest sin­gle mo­ment in rac­ing in the past weeks was the suc­cess­ful punt on the Nigel Ti­ley-trained De­mon­e­ti­za­tion at Tau­ranga and the Derby po­ten­tial that promised.

De­mon­e­ti­za­tion just got home in that race from the more ex­pe­ri­enced filly Kapoor and there is no rea­son that pair can­not pro­duce the quinella in Race 5 at Ellerslie this af­ter­noon.

The Ti­ley young gal­loper did it tough in run­ning at Tau­ranga and still showed guts un­der pres­sure to get the re­sult. He looks the t ype that will im­prove with a lit­tle more ex­pe­ri­ence and run­ning around Ellerslie will help with his ed­u­ca­tion.

Kapoor is a good filly. She gives the im­pres­sion she is still learn­ing when to switch on and off, but that will come with ex­pe­ri­ence. When she gets the idea to go for­ward late in her races her de­ter­mi­na­tion is ad­mirable in the ex­treme.

Sweet Leader ( No 4, R1) dis­played top class abil­ity in a brief ca­reer last sea­son, de­spite be­ing ham­pered and side­lined with a mi­nor res­pi­ra­tory is­sue. He has a dy­namic fin­ish­ing sprint and al­though he hasn’t had a bar­rier trial to fit him up for his re­sump­tion, he ap­peals as the type that could get away with that. It will take a big ef­fort to keep him out if he’s close to his best. Lewis Caroll ( No 1) is all class and will run a big race. Even with an ap­pren­tice al­lowance he car­ries 58.5kg and that i s of­ten a worry with a speed horse rac­ing in good com­pany at Ellerslie. He won’t give in with­out a fight though. Selfie ( No 2) should be in the mul­ti­ples.

Race 2 is a touch tough so we’ll go for a bit of value in for­mer Hong Kong gal­loper King’s Cross ( No 2). He failed to find his New Zealand form in Hong Kong and is back with Stephen Marsh. There was a bit to like about his soft bar­rier trial vic­tory at Cam­bridge re­cently and he has the No 1 bar­rier to as­sist here. Mid­night Run­ner ( No 5) won stylishly at Pukekohe and there could have been a sug­ges­tion that be­ing by Jimmy Choux the heavy track that day helped him, but be­fore that he man­aged a nice trial win on a good sur­face at Ruakaka and to­day’s good con­di­tions may not be a prob­lem. Mor­rie Ock ( No 6) and

Hi­flyer ( pic­tured) missed the planned Tau­ranga out­ing, but should still be at peak here. He is classy and does not lack heart and what beats him will win.

Tatty bogler ( No 10) are use­ful chances for mul­ti­ple bet­tors.

Bella Testa ( No 10, R3) over­came get­ting out late to win nicely at Avon­dale last time. This as­sign­ment looks a bit tougher, but there is an up­side to her. Clar­ify ( No 1), de­spite top­weight al­ways has to be con­sid­ered and

Magic Chai ( No 2) is worth a look.

The way Kachhi ( No 7, R4) races she is quickly go­ing to need a mid­dle dis­tance, but she was only just topped off at this 1600m dis­tance here last start. The im­pres­sive part of that race was at the 220m she looks as though she was go­ing to do noth­ing then she got go­ing and launched at the line. A sim­i­lar ef­fort would have her close here. Lady Shabeel ( No 6) is an im­prover and Princess Sap­phire ( No 11) are right in the race.

Ro­mancer ( No 2, R6) came off a pre­vi­ous prepa­ra­tion in mid­dle dis­tance rac­ing to win fresh- up at Avon­dale over 1200m. He got home, but raced like he was des­per­ately look­ing for fur­ther and you have to hope here that 1400m will not be too sharp for him. Help­ing will be the fact that Ellerslie is a bit tougher in the clos­ing stages than Avon­dale. He is one to stay with. Plenty of chances here and one not to leave out i s Thats for sure ( No 12) is much bet­ter than her pa­per form reads. She has had no luck, even if at times she makes her own bad luck with tardy be­gin­nings. She can be in this. Nee­son ( No 6) is a strong hope.

Hi­flyer ( No 2, R7) missed the planned Tau­ranga out­ing, but should still be at peak here. He is classy and does not lack heart and what beats him will win. At her best Stolen Dance ( No 8) is as good as most around. She didn’t fig­ure at Tau­ranga, but made a lit­tle ground late and could have been one race away. At her peak she would win this. Af­ter some dis­ap­point­ing ef­forts Splurge ( No 4) was a bit bet­ter at Tau­ranga and could be on the way back.

The last is not as easy as you’d like to see for a get- out stakes. Sava­pak

( No 5, R8) and Nar­vick ( No 4) are per­haps the best two chances, but there is am­ple scope for an up­set.

● Watch Syd­ney’s weather to­day. Rain is fore­cast. If it doesn’t ar­rive there are a few de­cent bets at short odds: Race 6, Mel­bourne win­ner Sava­pan­ski, Race 9 Machine­gun Jubs, Race 3 the Doukhan- Cordero

quinella could be the way to go.

Pic­ture / Race Images

De­mon­e­ti­za­tion looks the type that will im­prove with a lit­tle more ex­pe­ri­ence and run­ning around Ellerslie will help his ed­u­ca­tion.

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