Weekend Herald

Reports Russia has lost half its soldiers

US intelligen­ce says deaths and injuries in Kremlin forces may be equivalent to size of British army

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You are talking about an exceptiona­lly deadly war.

Paul Poast, associate professor of political science

More than 75,000 Russian soldiers have been killed or injured in the war in Ukraine, according to new classified US intelligen­ce, a loss equivalent to almost the entire British army.

If accurate, the figure would equate to half the 150,000 Russian troops reported to have been committed to the Ukrainian invasion, a staggering figure that points to an “exceptiona­lly deadly war”, according to analysts.

“We were briefed that over 75,000 Russians have either been killed or wounded, which is huge. You’ve got incredible amounts of investment in their land forces, over 80 per cent of their land forces are bogged down, and they’re tired,” Democrat Elissa Slotkin, who serves on the House Armed Services Committee and recently visited Ukraine, told CNN.

“But they’re still the Russian military.”

The classified briefing, first reported by CNN, was given by the State Department, the Department of Defence, the Joint Chiefs of Staff and the Office of the Director of National Intelligen­ce to the House of Representa­tives on Thursday.

Russia has dismissed the figures as inflated, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov calling it a “hoax”.

“In our time, even the most respectabl­e publicatio­ns do not shy away from disseminat­ing all sorts of hoaxes: This is sadly happening too often,” he said.

But losses on such a scale would help explain why the Russian advance in the Donbas has been so grindingly slow, why so many troops are refusing to fight, and why Moscow is having to rely on fresh volunteers.

“You are talking about an exceptiona­lly deadly war,” said Paul Poast, an associate professor of political science at the University of Chicago.

He estimated that between 15,000 and 20,000 Russian troops had been killed, which would be broadly in line with Western estimates of a 3:1 ratio of injuries to deaths.

If the new classified were true, it would make the Ukraine war Moscow’s worst conflict in terms of casualties since World War II — and the second-worst worldwide.

Only Vietnam injured and killed more soldiers from the occupying force — US casualties were more than 350,000 in that war.

The third worst was Afghanista­n, where the Soviet Union was hit by nearly 70,000 casualties.

“[The Russians] are exceeding the levels [of casualties] they had in both Afghanista­n and Chechnya, which were exceedingl­y violent from their standpoint.

“This emphasises how intense the fighting has been.

“But they are facing a very different opponent. In Afghanista­n, the Mujahideen did not receive American aid at the level now being provided to Ukraine until late in the war,” he added.

“In Ukraine, they are facing a profession­al army, which has received Western training since 2014, as well as weapons.”

Casualty estimates on both sides in Ukraine are highly speculativ­e, however, US officials have warned.

Russia’s last reported death toll, at the end of March, stood at just 1351.

In Ukraine, a senior adviser to the Ukrainian president said in June that military casualties were then between 100 and 200 per day.

This month, Volodymyr Zelenskyy said Ukrainian losses were now down to about 30 people per day.

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